| 00:00:06 |
HOST, -
BUREAU CHIEF DAVID LAUTER,. THANKS FOR COMING IN. THE HEADLINE ON THE PEACE IN "THE L.A. TIMES," IS, NO LONGER YOUR FATHER'S ELECTORATE. GUEST: BY A
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| 00:00:29 |
GUEST, -
LARGE MARGIN, THIS WAS THE MOST DIVERSE RACIALLY, ETHNICALLY, AND ANY WE HAVE HAD IN THE PAST AMERICAN ELECTIONS. THIS IS NO LONGER A MONOLITHIC WHITE...
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| 00:00:57 |
HOST, -
BEEN MADE ABOUT THE DECLINING WHITE VOTE, THE WHITE VOTE MADE UP ABOUT 72% OF THIS YEAR'S ELECTORATE. WOULD THAT BE THE DECIDING FACTOR IN THIS ELECTION?
|
| 00:01:13 |
GUEST, -
GUEST: IT PROBABLY WAS THE BIGGEST SINGLE FACTOR. THERE WERE OTHER FACTORS OF WENT INTO THE ELECTION. THAT WAS THE PREDOMINANT ONE. THE DECLINE OF THE...
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| 00:02:06 |
HOST, -
THAT MITT ROMNEY TOOK 59% OF THE WHITE VOTE IN THIS ELECTION TO OBAMA'S 39%. WE FOCUSED IN THE LAST SEGMENT ON THE HISPANIC VOTE. PRESIDENT OBAMA TAKING...
|
| 00:02:32 |
GUEST, -
IT WAS MORE DECIDEDLY DEMOCRATIC THAN IT HAD BEEN. YOU MENTION THE NATIONAL NUMBERS. IF YOU LOOK AT A COUPLE OF KEY STATES, IT IS EVEN MORE DRAMATIC....
|
| 00:03:28 |
HOST, -
DAVID LAUTER, "THE LOS ANGELES TIMES" BUREAU CHIEF ABOUT THE MAKEUP OF THE ELECTORATE BUT CANNOT ON TUESDAY. DEMOCRATIC LINE, 202-585-3880. REPUBLICAN...
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| 00:04:23 |
GUEST, -
A DISTINCTION BETWEEN PARTY ID AND VOTE BEHAVIOR. THEY ARE RELATED THINGS, BUT THERE ARE DIFFERENT THINGS. THERE'S A LOT OF CONFUSION ABOUT THAT...
|
| 00:06:01 |
HOST, -
HOST: INDEPENDENT -- INDEPENDENTS 50%. OBAMA ON TUESDAY, FOR THE 2000 ELECTIONS WHEN OBAMA WON 52% OF THOSE WHO IDENTIFIED AS INDEPENDENTS TO JOHN MCCAIN'S...
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| 00:06:36 |
GUEST, -
OF THINGS. SOME PEOPLE MEAN, I REALLY GO BACK AND FORTH, SOMETIMES I VOTE DEMOCRATIC, REPUBLICAN. THAT IS ONE GROUP. OTHER PEOPLE MEEHAN I CONSISTENTLY...
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| 00:07:08 |
HOST, -
NEW YORK AND THE DEMOCRATIC LINE. CALLER: I WANT TO COMMENT
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| 00:07:17 |
CALLER, -
ON THE LATINO VOTE. I KNOW YOU HAD A GUEST BEFORE. HOW LATINOS PERCEIVE ROMNEY AS BEING AN INTERVENTIONIST CANDIDATES. INVADING COUNTRIES, LIKE THE DOMINICAN...
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| 00:08:18 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
EXPECTING THE HIGH TURNOUT OF LATINOS IN THIS ELECTION? CALLER: I WAS MOTIVATED
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| 00:08:24 |
CALLER, -
TO VOTE, EVEN THOUGH I AM IN A DEMOCRATIC STATE. I KNEW OBAMA WAS GOING TO WIN HERE. I WAS MOTIVATED TO VOTE BECAUSE THE WAY OBAMA WAS DEMONIZED, FROM...
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| 00:08:54 |
HOST, -
EXIT POLLS SHOW MOTIVATED LATINOS? GUEST: THEY DO
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| 00:08:59 |
GUEST, -
NOT ASK THAT MANY QUESTIONS. THERE ARE SOME THINGS THAT ARE PRETTY CLEAR. ONE OF THEM, WHICH THE CALLER TOUCHED ON, IS THAT FOR A LOT OF IMMIGRANTS IN...
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| 00:10:03 |
HOST, -
ON TWITTER, MR. LAUTER, DO YOU FEEL THAT THE VOTER SUPPRESSION WAS AFFECTED VOTER TURNOUT? GUEST: IT MAY BE HARD
|
| 00:10:16 |
GUEST, -
TO PROVE, BECAUSE YOU CANNOT RUN THE ELECTION A SECOND TIME AND SEE IF THE TURNOUT WOULD OF BEEN DIFFERENT. DEMOCRATS VERY EFFECTIVELY USED REPUBLICAN...
|
| 00:10:47 |
HOST, -
PATTY ON THE REPUBLICAN LINE. CALLER: I
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| 00:10:53 |
CALLER, -
AM REALLY QUESTIONING WHY WE EVEN HAVE A REPUBLICAN PARTY ANYMORE. WE COULD NOT GET THE VOTES FROM HISPANICS. THE HISPANICS DO NOT LIKE US. WHITE WOMEN...
|
| 00:11:52 |
GUEST, -
AMERICAN POLICY TENDS TO BE CYCLICAL. PARTIES WILL HAVE A BIG TRIUMPH AND A COUPLE YEARS LATER -- LOST HEART. -- LOST HEART. IT IS PROBABLY PREMATURE...
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| 00:12:25 |
HOST, -
THE FEMALE VOTE. OBAMA WINNING FEMALE VOTE 55% 2 MITT ROMNEY'S 44%. THAT WAS DOWN A LITTLE BIT FROM 2008, WHEN OBAMA WON 56% TO ABOUT 43%. GUEST: IF
|
| 00:12:42 |
GUEST, -
YOU DIVE DEEPER INTO THE NUMBERS, IT IS NOT SO MUCH THE THERE IS A GENDER GAP. WE TALKED A LOT ABOUT THE GENDER GAP. THERE IS A MARRIAGE GAP. OBAMA WON...
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| 00:13:27 |
HOST, -
NEW YORK ON THE LINE FOR INDEPENDENTS.
|
| 00:13:32 |
CALLER, -
CALLER: AS A REGISTERED INDEPENDENT VOTERS,, AND THERE WAS NO CANDID ON THE BALLOT THIS YEAR FOR THE INDEPENDENCE PARTY. -- CAN GET IT ON THE BALLOT THIS...
|
| 00:14:20 |
GUEST, -
THIRD-PARTY CANDIDATES OR SMALL PARTY CANDIDATES FOR PRESIDENT AS OPPOSED TO STATEWIDE OFFICE AS -- FOR PRESIDENT, THEY HAVE TENDED TO BE PEOPLE LIKE...
|
| 00:15:18 |
HOST, -
DID GARY JOHNSON TAKE MORE VOTES FROM REPUBLICANS OR DEMOCRATS, AND WHAT ARE THE DEMOGRAPHICS OF THIRD-PARTY VOTERS? GUEST: FOR THE SECOND
|
| 00:15:28 |
GUEST, -
PART OF THE QUESTION, IT IS HARD TO ANSWER. EXIT POLLS LIKE ANY POLL HAD A MARGIN OF ERROR. TRYING TO PARCEL OUT DEMOGRAPHICS OF SUPPORT IS TOUGH BECAUSE...
|
| 00:16:23 |
HOST, -
FIRM THAT DOES ALL OF THE EXIT POLLING, OR MANY? GUEST: IT IS ONE
|
| 00:16:29 |
GUEST, -
FROM THE DOZEN FOR A CONSORTIUM OF THE MAJOR BROADCAST NETWORKS AND THE ASSOCIATE PRESS -- IT IS ONE FIRM FOR A CONSORTIUM OF THE MAJOR BROADCAST NETWORKS...
|
| 00:18:00 |
HOST, -
LINE, JIM FROM EL PASO, TEXAS. CALLER: I THINK THERE
|
| 00:18:07 |
CALLER, -
IS A DEMOGRAPHIC, AND I REPRESENTED. I DO NOT THINK THE REPUBLICANS EVEN THOUGHT ABOUT IT -- REPRESENT IT. MY WIFE IS HISPANIC. I AM ANGLO. MY CHILDREN...
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| 00:18:36 |
GUEST, -
IS AN INTERESTING POINT AND PART OF WHAT I WAS ALLUDING TO IN THE BEGINNING. CULTURAL FACTORS HAVE ALIENATED THE REPUBLICANS FROM A CERTAIN BLOCK OF...
|
| 00:19:31 |
HOST, -
TO ROBERT ON THE REPUBLICAN LINE FROM LOUISVILLE, KY.
|
| 00:19:37 |
CALLER, -
CALLER: I AM A REGISTERED REPUBLICAN -- KENTUCKY. RETIRED IN 1996. I HAVE BEEN WATCHING C-SPAN AND THE CONGRESS PARTY REGULAR. THAT INFLUENCED MY VOTE...
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| 00:20:16 |
HOST, -
SAY ABOUT THE FOLKS WHO ARE ATTUNED TO WHAT IS GOING ON IN CONGRESS? DO PEOPLE SAY WHETHER THEY'RE INFLUENCED BY GRIDLOCK IN CONGRESS? GUEST: AS A GENERAL
|
| 00:20:31 |
GUEST, -
RULE, PEOPLE WHO FOLKS PAY MOST ATTENTION TO PUBLIC AFFAIRS, PEOPLE WHO FOLLOW DEBATES IN CONGRESS TEND TO BE THE MOST PARTISAN. THIS IS NOT 100%, BUT...
|
| 00:21:05 |
HOST, -
FOR INDEPENDENTS FROM BLUE MOUNTAIN, MISSISSIPPI -- FREDERICK ON THE LINE FOR INDEPENDENTS FROM BLUE MOUNTAIN, MISSISSIPPI. CALLER: I
|
| 00:21:22 |
CALLER, -
HAVE NEVER SEEN ANYTHING FOR THE NATIVE AMERICANS, INDIANS. I AM WANTING TO KNOW, ARE THERE ANY POLLS THAT SHOW WHICH WE DEVOTED -- WAY THEY VOTED? GUEST:HOST:
|
| 00:21:41 |
GUEST:HOST, -
THE NATIVE AMERICAN POPULATION IS RELATIVELY SMALL AND TENDS TO BE LOCALIZED. WOULD THEY FALL INTO THE OTHER RACE CATEGORY THAT MADE UP TO% OF THE ELECTORATE?...
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| 00:22:06 |
HOST, -
38% FOR MITT ROMNEY. THERE ARE SOME PARTICULAR GEOGRAPHIC AREAS OF THE COUNTRY THAT HAVE A LARGE NATIVE AMERICAN POPULATION, OTHER AREAS THAT HAVE LARGE...
|
| 00:22:31 |
CALLER, -
TO HAVE A CONVERSATION OR HAVE THE SPEAKER DISCUSS WHAT HE FELT THE NUMBERS REPRESENTED IN TERMS OF THE 39% OF WHITE VOTERS. PEOPLE MAKE ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT...
|
| 00:23:07 |
GUEST, -
STRONG SUPPORT AMONG WHITE VOTERS CAME FROM COLLEGE EDUCATED -- THE PRESIDENT'S STRONGEST SUPPORT AMONG WHITE VOTERS CAME FROM COLLEGE-EDUCATED WHITE...
|
| 00:24:22 |
HOST, -
YORK TIMES," STORY ON VOTER TURNOUT. WORTHY OF THE BAILOUT WAS PROBABLE, MR. OBAMA BENEFITED. -- AND WHERE THE AUTO BAILOUT WAS PALPABLE, MR. OBAMA BENEFITED....
|
| 00:24:43 |
GUEST, -
WAS A HUGE BENEFIT FOR THE PRESIDENT. -- AUTO BAILOUT WAS A HUGE BENEFIT FOR THE PRESIDENT. IN THE END, IT PAID AN ENORMOUS ELECTORAL DIVIDEND. HOST:...
|
| 00:24:58 |
HOST, -
THE REPUBLICAN LINE, NORTH CAROLINA. CALLER: I DO
|
| 00:25:04 |
CALLER, -
NOT BELIEVE ANYBODY WHO IS A REGISTERED VOTER IN THE UNITED STATES COUNT. THERE OR ELECTORAL VOTERS IN EACH STATE. DO AWAY WITH THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE'S,...
|
| 00:25:34 |
HOST, -
VOTERS' ATTITUDES TOWARDS THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE SYSTEM. IS THIS SOMETHING NOT GETTING MEASURED IN EXIT POLLS? GUEST: AFTER THE 2000
|
| 00:25:45 |
GUEST, -
ELECTION, WHEN FLORIDA WAS CONTESTED. I THINK UNHAPPINESS WITH THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE SYSTEM WAS AT A PEAK. THERE WERE A LOT OF PEOPLE WHO THINK THE...
|
| 00:26:58 |
HOST, -
VOTED IN THIS ELECTION. THE NUMBER IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP? GUEST: WHETHER IT
|
| 00:27:04 |
GUEST, -
WILL SURPASS THE VOTES FROM 2008 OR NOT, WE DO NOT KNOW YET. IT DEPENDS HOW MANY UNCOUNTED BALLOTS THERE ARE OUT THERE. NO ONE HAS A PERFECT HANDLE ON...
|
| 00:27:42 |
CALLER, -
A THINK THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE SYSTEM IS A BRILLIANT. IT DEFENDS THE TWO PARTY SYSTEM A. GOING BACK TO MINORITIES, AND LIVE IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA. IT IS...
|
| 00:28:25 |
GUEST, -
NOT THINK IT IS NECESSARILY A CASE OF MINORITIES TO SEE THEMSELVES AS "MINORITIES." EVERYONE WHO GOES TO THE POLLS THINKS ABOUT, WHICH CANDIDATE IS MORE...
|
| 00:29:39 |
HOST, -
ON TWITTER, HOW DID THE LGBT COMMUNITY VOTE IN THIS ELECTION? GUEST: THAT IS A HARD THING
|
| 00:29:47 |
GUEST, -
TO MEASURE ON AN EXIT POLL, BECAUSE PEOPLE ARE NOT NECESSARILY FORTHCOMING ABOUT THEIR SEXUALITY. THAT BECOMES AN ISSUE. THE PERCENTAGE IS NOT THAT...
|
| 00:30:15 |
HOST, -
ANTONIO, TEXAS ON THE DEMOCRATIC LINE. YOU ARE ON WITH DAVID LAUTER OF "LOS ANGELES TIMES AND." -- TIMES." CALLER: MOST LATINOS
|
| 00:30:28 |
CALLER, -
AND IDENTIFY THEMSELVES WITH THE CATHOLIC CHURCH. THE CATHOLIC CHURCH TAKES THE SIDE OF THE REPUBLICANS ON CERTAIN ISSUES. THE EVANGELICALS, IF I SAW...
|
| 00:31:09 |
HOST, -
TO POINT OUT FROM THE EXIT POLLING, 21% OF WHITE EVANGELICALS OR WHITE BORN-AGAIN CHRISTIANS SUPPORTED PRESIDENT OBAMA IN THIS ELECTION, AND 78% SUPPORTED...
|
| 00:31:26 |
GUEST, -
RIGHT. RELIGION REMAINS AN IMPORTANT FACTOR IN AMERICAN POLITICS. THE NOMINATION DOES NOT SO MUCH. IT USED TO BE THAT YOU TALKED ABOUT THE CATHOLIC VOTE...
|
| 00:32:33 |
HOST, -
BEEN WORKING ON CAMPAIGNS OUT OF THE "LOS ANGELES TIMES"? GUEST: I HAVE BEEN DOING IT
|
| 00:32:45 |
GUEST, -
ON AND OFF SINCE I COVERED 1988, 1992, 1996.
|
| 00:32:55 |
HOST, -
HOST: 1988, WHAT WOULD YOUR BIGGEST SURPRISE BE AND HOW THESE EXIT POLLS HAVE CHANGED AND THE DEMOGRAPHICS HAVE CHANGED IN ALL THESE DIFFERENT ELECTIONS...
|
| 00:33:08 |
GUEST, -
LONG ARC OVER THOSE YEARS, THE HUGE DIFFERENCE IS THE GROWTH OF THE MINORITY VOTE. MITT ROMNEY ONE I HIGHER PERCENTAGE OF THE WHITE VOTE -- ONE A HIGHER...
|
| 00:33:53 |
CALLER, -
CALLER: GOOD MORNING. THE QUESTION I WOULD LIKE TO ASK IS, DO YOU HAVE ANY IDEA HOW MANY VOTING AGE AMERICANS DO NOT TAKE PART IN THE VOTING PROCESS?...
|
| 00:34:11 |
GUEST, -
A LITTLE LESS THAN 40% CANNOT VOTE. IF YOU MEASURE -- DID NOT VOTE. IF YOU MEASURE TURNOUT ACCORDING TO WHAT THEY CALL THE VOTER ELIGIBLE POPULATION,...
|
| 00:34:49 |
HOST, -
FOR INDEPENDENTS. -- LINE FOR INDEPENDENTS. CALLER: ON THE HISPANIC
|
| 00:35:00 |
CALLER, -
VOTE, PUERTO RICO SINCE 1917, JUST NOW THE HEAD REFERENDUM FOR IT TO BECOME A STATE. -- THEY HAD A REFERENDUM FOR IT TO BECOME A STATE. IF PUERTO RICO...
|
| 00:35:38 |
GUEST, -
COULD ISSUE FOR PUERTO RICO -- STATEHOD -- STATEHOOD ISSUE FOR PUERTO RICO HAS BEEN UNDER DEBATE FOR DECADES NOW. THE REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR OF PUERTO RICO...
|
| 00:36:37 |
HOST, -
ISSUES AND HOW THEY IMPACTED VOTERS. FOREIGN POLICY, WHAT WERE VOTERS' ATTITUDES ABOUT FOREIGN POLICY ISSUES? GUEST: THE EXIT
|
| 00:36:48 |
GUEST, -
POLL ASKED PEOPLE WHAT THEIR MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE WAS. THE ECONOMY WAS WAY UP ON TOP, ALMOST 3/5THS OF PEOPLE SAID THE ECONOMY WAS THE NUMBER-ONE ISSUE....
|
| 00:37:32 |
HOST, -
ABOUT 5%. THE ECONOMY, 59% PUT THAT AS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE. FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT, 15%. TALK ABOUT HOW THE HEALTH CARE LAW PLAYED INTO VOTERS' ATTITUDES?...
|
| 00:38:03 |
GUEST, -
IS AN IMPORTANT THING. ALMOST ONE IN FIVE VOTERS SAID THAT HEALTH CARE WAS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE. THE PRESIDENT WON ROUGHLY THREE- QUARTERS OF THAT...
|
| 00:39:12 |
HOST, -
TWITTER, THIS ANALYSIS OF EXIT POLLS, -- ON TWITTER, A MANDATE ON EITHER -- DID THE PRESIDENT OR EITHER PARTY IN MANDATE -- A MANDATE? GUEST: HE
|
| 00:39:36 |
GUEST, -
ACCUMULATED POLITICAL CAPITAL HIMSELF. EVEN THOUGH HIS POPULAR VOTE MARGIN WAS NARROW. PRESIDENT OBAMA IS POPULAR VOTE MARGIN IS GOING TO END UP BEING...
|
| 00:40:18 |
CALLER, -
CONSERVATIVE THROUGH AND THROUGH, BUT BARACK OBAMA IS MY PRESIDENT. I WISH HIM WELL. I HOPE HE SUCCEEDS. I AGREE WITH RUSH LIMBAUGH. IF YOU HAVE SOMEONE...
|
| 00:41:07 |
GUEST, -
CALLER EXPRESSED SOMETHING A LOT OF CONSERVATIVES FEEL, THAT TOO MANY AMERICANS ARE BECOMING TOO ADJUSTED TO THE IDEA OF GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS, GOVERNMENT...
|
| 00:41:27 |
HOST, -
DAVID LAUTER, THE "LOS ANGELES TIMES," WASHINGTON BUREAU CHIEF. THAT IS OUR SHOW TODAY ON." -- ON "WASHINGTON JOURNAL." [CAPTIONING PERFORMED BY NATIONAL...
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NOTE: The transcript for this program was compiled from uncorrected Closed Captioning.