| 00:00:22 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
AFTERNOON. I'M A SENIOR FELLOW HERE AT AEI. ON BEHALF OF MY COLLEAGUES AND OUR C-SPAN VIEWERS I WOULD LIKE TO INVITE YOU TO THIS FINAL SESSION OF THE...
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| 00:05:09 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OKAY. THANK YOU VERY MUCH. THANK YOU FOR NOTING MY FALLIBILITY. IT'S BEEN THERE SINCE I TOLD MY LAW SCHOOL CLASSMATES NELSON ROCKEFELLER WOULD BE DEFEATED...
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| 00:15:49 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IN ANY CASE GOING THROUGH THE FIVE STAGES OF GRIEF IT IS FIST GOING TO ENGAGE IN DENIAL. THAT'S WHAT YOU SAW WITH THE WASHINGTON TIMES PIECES KARLIN...
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| 00:26:35 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THANK YOU VERY MUCH. NOW TO BEST SELLING AUTHOR NORM ORSTED. >> FIRST
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| 00:26:41 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF ALL I WANT TO SUGGEST IF YOU HAVE NOT READ HENRY'S PRE-ELECTION MEMO, DO IT. THOUGH THE ELECTION IS OVER. IT'S NOT JUST ABOUT HAVING THE NUMBERS...
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| 00:42:14 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
PROBLEMS. YOU SAW WHAT WE DID WITH HURRICANE SANDY. WE CAN DO THIS WITH THE HURRICANE OF THE DEBT AND THE FISCAL CLIFF COMING. IF ONLY WE CAN GET IT...
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| 00:47:02 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
NORM. WE HAVE COVERED A LOT OF GROUND. I'M SURE YOU HAVE MANY QUESTIONS. THERE WILL BE ASSISTANTS WANDERING THE ROOM WITH MICROPHONES. IF YOU COULD...
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| 00:47:36 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
YOURSELF. >> THANK YOU. PEG KBI ORCHOWSKI FROM THE HISPANIC OUTLOOK MAGAZINE. OF COURSE VERY INTERESTING LATINO VOTE. I WONDER IF YOU'RE GOING TO...
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| 00:49:01 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
MICHAEL? >> WELL, THE EXIT
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| 00:49:07 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
POLL CONSORTIUM MASSAGES THE DATA THAT INITIALLY COMES IN. ONE OF THE THINGS WE HAVE NOTICED WITH THE EXIT POLL IS THAT POLL IS THAT BOTH BECAUSE OF...
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| 00:51:23 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
RIGHT HERE. I'M GOING TO START WITH THIS GENTLEMAN. IF YOU COULD TELL US YOUR QUESTION, THEN I THINK THIS GENTLEMAN RIGHT HERE. THEN WE'LL TRY TO ANSWER...
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| 00:51:41 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
BEHALF OF AN ENDANGERED SPECIES, THE OLD NORTHEAST -- I'M SORRY, NORTHEAST SUBURBAN PHILADELPHIA MAINLINE REPUBLICANS, RIGHT? YOU DON'T SEE VERY MANY...
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| 00:52:43 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
GENTLEMAN, IF YOU COULD TELL US WHAT YOUR QUESTION IS, THEN THIS GENTLEMAN RIGHT HERE, PATRICK IN THE BACK. >> I WONDER IF ANY OF
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| 00:52:54 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
YOU MIGHT COMMENT ON THE OUTCOME OF THE ELECTION AT A LEVEL THAT WE IGNORE WHICH IS GOVERNORSHIPS AND THE STATE LEGISLATURES. ONE OF THE THINGS THAT...
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| 00:53:18 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THIRD QUESTION RIGHT HERE, THIS GENTLEMAN BACK
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| 00:53:22 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
HERE. >> YES. I'M WITH THE PACK SKA STANNY SPECTATOR. MY QUESTION IS ABOUT THE SOUL OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY. LAST WEEK I WAS AT THE RNC TO MAKE SOME...
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| 00:54:21 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THAT BEN WATTENBERG IS HERE TODAY, THE AUTHOR OF THE 1970 BOOK WITH RICHARD SCANLON "THE REAL MAJORITY." [ APPLAUSE ] >> LET ME TAKE A CRACK AT --
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| 00:54:32 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IT ACTUALLY DEALS IN PART WITH THE FIRST TWO QUESTIONS. THERE ARE GOING TO BE SOME MODEST SHIFTS IN STATE LEGISLATIVE CHAMBERS OVERALL. DEMOCRATS...
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| 00:57:29 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
I THINK -- I DON'T WANT TO USE -- AND I THINK THE REPUBLICAN PARTY SHOULD BANISH THE NOTION OF REACHING OUT. I THINK REACHING OUT SAYS WE'RE STARTING...
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| 00:58:46 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
VERY QUICKLY ON NORTHEASTERN MODERATES? >> SOME
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| 00:58:49 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
PEOPLE YEARN FOR THE DAYS OF NELSON ROCKEFELLER. THOSE DAYS ARE GONE. YOU KNOW, BUT AT THE SAME TIME PENNSYLVANIA'S HOUSE DELEGATION I BELIEVE IS GOING...
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| 01:00:38 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
TAKE THREE QUESTIONS FROM THIS SIDE OF THE ROOM STARTING WITH WAYNE VALLAS. >> RICHARD
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| 01:00:47 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
NIXON WHITE HOUSE ALUM. TWO QUESTIONS. HENRY, WHY DON'T YOU LET US KNOW A COUPLE OF POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN LEADERS WHO COULD GIVE THAT RICHARD NIXON SPEECH...
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| 01:01:12 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
QUESTION RIGHT HERE. THEN JEN IN THE FAR BACK. >> FROM WHAT I CAN HEAR
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| 01:01:18 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IS THAT THE REPUBLICAN PARTY IS A PARTY OF PEOPLE WHO LIKE TO KEEP THEIR WEALTH, EVANGELISTS AND WHITE MALES. SO IF THAT'S THE CASE, AS YOU SAID, IS THE...
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| 01:01:43 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
BACK. >> I'M JOHN
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| 01:01:46 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
GREEN. NORM, AND ANYONE ELSE, BUT SINCE YOU ADDRESSED THIS SORT OF SPECIFICALLY AROUND SENATE RELATIONSHIPS AND THAT, SO HARRY REID SAID BEFORE THE...
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| 01:02:33 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
BUSH, MITCH DANIELS, CONDOLEEZZA RICE, I HOPE PAUL RYAN, A NUMBER OF PEOPLE WHOSE NAMES WE HAVEN'T HEARD OF YET, BUT PERHAPS, PERHAPS RUBIO, SCOTT...
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| 01:03:20 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
VOTING? >> THE SIGNS ON EARLY
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| 01:03:23 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
VOTING. THERE WERE SIGN THAT EARLY VOTING WAS NOT PRODUCING AS BIG A DEMOCRATIC EDGE IN 2012 AS IT DID IN '08. I THINK THAT WILL ULTIMATELY TURN OUT...
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| 01:03:51 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THE -- ONE BRIEF COMMENT ON THE EARLY VOTING. KARL ROVE WHOSE ANALYSIS WAS NOT TERRIBLY DISTINGUISHED THIS TIME EITHER. ALSO I GOT KIND OF BEMUSED...
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| 01:06:26 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ABOUT THE HOUSE VERSUS SENATE. YOU HAVE ALL THESE GANGS IN THE SENATE IN THE MODERATE SIDE. IS THERE ANY CHANCE FOR MODERATE HOUSE GANG TO FORM ITSELF...
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| 01:06:53 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THE COUPLE MODERATE THAT GOT ELECTED. BUT WHAT WERE THERE 34 SOMETHING BLUE DOGS AND RAHM EMANUEL DID A BRILLIANT JOB RECRUITING PURPORTEDLY MODERATE...
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| 01:08:07 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
RIGHT. BUT I THINK THE PROBLEM FOR BOEHNER, WHO IS A LEGISLATOR WOULD KIND OF LIKE TO FIND THOSE RESOLUTIONS IS HE DOESN'T HAVE A LEADERSHIP THAT'S...
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| 01:10:09 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ADD IS IT'S NOT JUST A PARTY PHENOMENON OF THE LOSS OF MODERATES. AFTER THE PRESIDENT'S HEALTH CARE BILL PASSED, PEOPLE WHO VOTED AGAINST IT WERE...
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| 01:11:31 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THE REPUBLICANS, YOU KNOW, NORM SAYS THEY'VE BECOME RADICALIZED. I THINK WHAT THEY WOULD ARGUE IS THAT STATE LEGISLATURES AND GOVERNORS IN STATES LIKE...
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| 01:12:37 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
HAVE TWO QUESTIONS HERE AND BACK HERE. >>
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| 01:12:43 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THANKS. I'M GARRETT MITCHELL, I WRITE THE MITCHELL REPORT. I WANT TO PUT THIS IN THE -- I WANT TO PUT THIS QUESTION IN A FRAMEWORK THAT BEGINS WITH...
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| 01:15:24 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ON THE TABLE FIRST, JUST AS A FOOTNOTE WHILE JEN'S TAKING THE MIKE, FEWER THAN HALF, 42%, SAID OBAMA'S HURRICANE RESPONSE WAS AN IMPORTANT FACTOR...
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| 01:15:42 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
HERE. WHAT DO YOU THINK PRESIDENT OBAMA IS -- HOW MUCH IS PRESIDENT OBAMA WILLING TO ACCEPT IF SOMETHING LIKE SIMPSON/BOWLES AND THAT PROGRAM MAY CALL...
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| 01:16:29 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THE ISSUE -- HE WHO FRAMES THE ISSUE TENDS TO DETERMINE THE OUTCOME OF THE ELECTION AND REPUBLICANS FRAME IT AS BIG GOVERNMENT VERSUS SMALL GOVERNMENT....
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| 01:18:33 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
YOU DISCUSS THIS ARGUMENT AT THE ABSTRACT LEVEL, IT HAS MORE TRACTION IF YOU TALK ABOUT REDUCING GOVERNMENT. IT'S WHEN YOU GET DOWN TO CONCRETE LEVELS,...
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| 01:20:23 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ON THE SMALL GOVERNMENT QUESTION, YOU KNOW, SMALLER GOVERNMENT HAS BEEN A CORE REPUBLICAN PRINCIPLE FOR INNUMERABLE DECADES. IT WAS NOT SOMETHING INVENTED...
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| 01:22:53 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
HERE AND HERE, THEN WE'LL LET BEN WATTENBERG, OUR COLLEAGUE, HAVE THE LAST WORD. I ALSO NOTE THERE ARE A FEW PEOPLE THAT STARTED WITH US IN ELECTION...
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| 01:23:10 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ELIZABETH SINCLAIR, LONG & FOSTER REAL ESTATE. WITH RESPECT TO NORM AND CERTAINLY DICK MORRIS AND KARL ROVE DON'T NEED MY DEFENSES, BUT I JUST LIKE TO...
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| 01:24:05 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
COMMENT ON WHAT EFFECT THIS IS GOING TO HAVE ON THE SUPREME COURT APPOINTMENTS THAT ARE PROBABLY GOING TO COME UP IN THE NEXT FOUR YEARS? >> YES,...
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| 01:24:16 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
FLETCHER. THE ECONOMY MIGHT BE RECOVERING, BUT IF THE RECOVERY ISN'T COMPLETE OR IF GROWTH IS TEPID AND SLOW AND JOBS DON'T COME BACK BY THE TIME...
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| 01:24:47 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
I THINK THAT GIVEN POLLING DATA, GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF IT THESE DAYS THERE ARE REASONABLE PREDICTIONS YOU COULD HAVE MADE TO GET BARACK OBAMA UP TO...
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| 01:26:48 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
SOMEBODY -- I DON'T BEGRUDGE ANYTHING THAT MICHAEL OR DICK MORRIS OR ANY SAID ABOUT ANY ELECTION BECAUSE ANYBODY WHO DOES THIS WITH ANY DEGREE OF SERIOUSLY...
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| 01:28:02 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
AS I DID? >>
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| 01:28:06 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
NO. FROM EITHER -- >> LEFT COMMENTATORS, A LOT
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| 01:28:10 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF COMMENTATORS ARE SCURRILOUS, YOU KNOW. >>
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| 01:28:13 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
NO, THERE IS HYPERPARTISANSHIP ON THE LEFT, THERE'S HYPERPARTISANSHIP ON THE RIGHT. WHAT I DID GET WAS NOT AN OBSCENE COMMENT ON THE DAILY KOZ BUT SOMEBODY...
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| 01:29:19 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
RESIST SAYING THAT I PUT MICHAEL IN A VERY DIFFERENT CATEGORY THAN DICK MORRIS. BUT THAT ASIDE, ON THE SUPREME COURT, WE DON'T KNOW WHAT VACANCIES THERE...
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| 01:31:23 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THE STAGNANT ECONOMY IN A FEW YEARS I THINK OBAMA NEUTRALIZED ROMNEY ON THE ECONOMY THIS YEAR IF IT GOES ON FOR A LOT LONGER, IT'S HARD TO KNOW. BUT...
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| 01:31:43 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
COMMENT ON THAT. IF YOU LOOK AT THE MOST RECENT ANALYSIS OF REINHART AND ROGOFF WHO WERE JUST OFF THE CHARTS SUPERB IN DOING STRAIGHTFORWARD ANALYSIS,...
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| 01:33:42 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THEN BEN YOU CAN HAVE THE LAST WORD. THIS QUESTION. >> LYNWOOD BRAGEN WITH
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| 01:33:48 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THE COUNCIL FOR POLICY AND ETHICS. I WAS WONDERING WITH THE DEEP DIVISIONS WITH THE NATION THAT WE'VE SEEN, THE NEAR SPLIT THAT'S THERE, THE DIVISION...
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| 01:34:46 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
YOU GO TO BEN WATTENBERG HERE IN THE
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| 01:34:55 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
FRONT. >> HI. I WALKED IN JUST AFTER KARLYN WAS TALKING ABOUT THE -- >> CAN YOU SPEAK
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| 01:35:02 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
UP, BEN? >>
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| 01:35:03 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
WHAT? >> CAN YOU
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| 01:35:04 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
SPEAK UP? >> I SAY I WALKED
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| 01:35:06 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IN JUST AS YOU WERE FINISHING YOUR REMARKS ON DICK SCANLON AND I WANTED TO MAKE SURE THEY WERE -- AND KARLYN WHO I KNOW -- INSTITUTIONAL DIAMOND. >> COULD...
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| 01:35:36 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THAT? >> WHAT ABOUT
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| 01:35:38 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
NORM? >> -- AN INSTITUTIONAL
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| 01:35:39 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
DIAMOND IN THE ROUGH. DICK SCANLON USED TO SAY THAT THE CLOSENESS OF THE -- >>
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| 01:35:53 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
I'LL REPEAT IT. >> WAS HALF AND HALF,
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| 01:35:58 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
51/49, SOMETHING LIKE THAT. IN A WINNER TAKE ALL SITUATION, WINNER IN A WINNER TAKE ALL SITUATION CAN BE TILTED BY THE TINIEST GROUP OF VOTERS. AFTER...
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| 01:36:57 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
RESPOND TO THE DIAMOND IN THE ROUGH. >> SO IT PROTECTS
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| 01:37:05 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
SMALL MINORITIES BECAUSE IT MAKES THEM PARTICULARLY IN A CLOSE STATE ENORMOUS -- AND FINALLY I WANT TO GET AN IDEA, THE IDEA THAT WHO IS GOING TO...
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| 01:38:11 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
A COUPLE OF POINTS THAT BEN MADE. FIRST IS IT'S A RARE ELECTION THAT ISN'T DECIDE IN SOME FASHION AT THE MARGINS. AND YET DOES RESULT IN AN ELECTORAL...
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| 01:42:39 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
TYING THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE IS FOR CONGRESS TO SET THE SIZE OF THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AT AN EVEN NUMBER, BUT THEN YOU MIGHT HAVE A TIE FOR SPEAKER...
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| 01:45:55 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
LAST WORD TODAY. >> PEOPLE TALK A LOT
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| 01:45:58 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ABOUT BIPARTISANSHIP OR UNITY. I THINK THERE ARE TYPES THE OF FALSE UNITY THAT WE SHOULD TALK ABOUT. ONE IS THE FALSE UNITY WHERE WE PRETEND THAT MORAL...
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| 01:47:59 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ALLHANK ALL OF MY WONDERFUL PANELISTS HERE AT AEI. THANK YOU FOR COMING. WE'LL SEE YOU IN TWO YEARS. >>> ON
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NOTE: The transcript for this program was compiled from uncorrected Closed Captioning.