| 00:00:30 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
BROOKINGS. I AM THE DIRECTOR OF THE FOREIGN POLICY PROGRAM HERE. IT IS VERY GOOD TO SEE YOU ALL HERE. WE THOUGHT THAT THE TOPIC OF TODAY'S CONVERSATION...
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| 00:05:56 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
I CAN ONLY SMILE. I AM AFRAID I AM GOING TO START THIS SESSION OFF WITHOUT MY NORMAL BURST OF OPTIMISM. YOU MENTIONED THE BROKEN BRANCH. WE ARE WORKING...
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| 00:16:46 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
MAURICIO FOR SOMETHING EVEN MORE UPLIFTING. THE WAY THIS FITS INTO GLOBAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT. WE HAD SOME VERY GLOOMY NEWS COMING OUT OF EUROPE ABOUT...
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| 00:17:22 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THEY ARE LIMITED. WE ARE TALKING ABOUT LEADERSHIP HERE. LEADERSHIP REQUIRES A STRONG ECONOMY. THAT IS NOT AN ECONOMY WHERE RECESSIONS DO NOT HAPPEN....
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| 00:19:50 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ASIA, LATIN AMERICA. YOU HEAR WORDS LIKE THE IRRESPONSIBLE POLICIES OF THE U.S. OR PHRASES TALKING ABOUT THE PARASITE AND ECONOMIES OF THE WORLD LIKE...
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| 00:21:08 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
PRESIDENT OBAMA AND OTHER WORLD LEADERS CAME TOGETHER IN THE G20. THEY PUT TOGETHER A STIMULUS TO JOLT THE WORLD OUT OF THE TAILSPIN THAT RESULTED FROM...
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| 00:21:35 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ABOUT A SECOND STIMULUS PACKAGE IN THE UNITED STATES THAT GOES NOWHERE, ESPECIALLY WITH THAT CONCERNS. COUNTRIES IN THE EMERGING WORLD, ESPECIALLY CHINA...
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| 00:22:46 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ABOUT EUROPE. CLEARLY, THIS IS A CRISIS THAT DOES NOT JUST AFFECT AMERICA, BUT AFFECTS THE WEST MORE GENERALLY BECAUSE OF WHAT IS HAPPENING IN EUROPE....
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| 00:23:04 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
MADE ABOUT THE FIGURES COMING IN ABOUT GROWTH STALLING IN GERMANY AND FRANCE, IT HAS INCREASED CONCERNS OF THE EUROPEAN FRONT. A WEEK AGO, WE MIGHT HAVE...
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| 00:26:58 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
FUNCTION -- DYSFUNCTION GOING TO SPREAD TO TRY THAT? CAN WE RELY ON CHINA TO BE THE ENGINE TO PULL US ALL OUT OF THIS? PEOPLE THROUGHOUT ASIA, I CONSIDER...
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| 00:34:42 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
TO TAKE THE LONG VIEW AND THE HISTORICAL VIEW AND TELL US IT IS NOT AS BAD AS WE THINK IT IS. LET ME CLOSE WITH SOMETHING THAT HE WROTE IN THE NEW " --...
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| 00:35:25 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
HE IS NOT HERE. WE ARE OBVIOUSLY IN A SERIOUS CRISIS. I LIKE A GOOD CRISIS AS MUCH AS THE NEXT PERSON. WE ARE IN AN ELECTION SEASON. WE WANT TO START...
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| 00:36:17 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
NOT HAVE TO CHANGE MY POSITION. >> THE BOTTOM
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| 00:36:21 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
LINES ARE THESE. THE UNITED STATES CONTINUES TO PROVIDE VERY IMPORTANT GLOBAL GOODS TO MUCH OF THE WORLD INCLUDING TO CHINA. WHETHER IT IS THROUGH ITS...
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| 00:40:23 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ARE TRIGGERED AND THAT COULD HAVE A DRAMATIC AFFECT ON THE DEFENSE BUDGET. EXPLAIN WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN AND WHETHER YOU THINK THAT IS LIKELY. >> THE SECOND...
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| 00:40:40 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF THE DEBT CEILING INCREASE AGREEMENT WAS A TARGET FOR ADDITIONAL SAVINGS FOR THE DEFICIT. THE FIRST WAS ROUGHLY $900 BILLION TO A TRILLION OVER 10 YEARS....
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| 00:45:03 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
MEANTIME, THE WORLD WAITS AND WATCHES. >> THEY HAD DONE THAT
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| 00:45:06 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
BEFORE. THE WORLD HAD TO LIVE THROUGH THE MONICA LEWINSKY CRISIS. I REMEMBER IN 1998 THAT THERE WERE ALL SORTS OF EDITORIALS ALL OVER THE WORLD. WHAT...
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| 00:45:49 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THAT THE WORLD CAN WAIT. THAT IS TRUE THAT THE WORLD HAS BEEN USED TO THAT. IT IS TRUE THAT THE SUPERPOWERS GET MORE DEGREES OF FREEDOM. THEY ARE NOT...
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| 00:46:23 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ARE MEASURING IN DECADES. WAKE ME UP. >> UNDENIABLY, THE BALANCE
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| 00:46:34 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF POWER IS SHIFTING. MAYBE IT IS TAKING SOME TIME. THE NOTION THAT THE UNITED STATES IS THE PREEMINENT SUPERPOWER IS A LITTLE HARD TO MAINTAIN IN THESE...
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| 00:47:44 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF BEING ALARMED ABOUT A LOT OF THINGS. I WANT TO PUSH BACK ON THIS JUDGMENT IN TWO WAYS. ONE IS FROM A HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE. DURING THE COLD WAR,...
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| 00:50:10 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF THE MORE ESTABLISHED POWERS, THE RUSSIANS AND HOW THEY ARE VIEWING THIS POLITICAL THIS FUNCTION. >> THIS IS FAR AWAY
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| 00:50:22 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
FROM WHERE BOB LEFT US IN THE RUINS OF THE U.S.S.R. THERE IS THE PAUL KENNEDY RISE AND FALL OF THE GREAT POWERS AND THE UNITED STATES IS NOT IMMUNE TO...
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| 00:54:31 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
BACK AGAIN ON CHINA? >> CSI BUT AS YOU DO THAT,
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| 00:54:37 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
DOES THE CHANGE OF OF GOING TO BE DONE IN THE SAME WAY? DOES THAT JUSTIFY THE SYSTEM? BUT >> THAT ARGUMENT OVER THE LAST 30 YEARS, THE FIRST DIES WAS...
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| 00:59:23 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
WITH WHAT YOU'RE SAYING. I WAS JUST SAYING IF YOU WERE DOING A PREDICTIVE -- YOUR VISA TO CHINA IS IN TROUBLE RIGHT NOW. [LAUGHTER] >> BEFORE WE GO TO
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| 00:59:46 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THE AUDIENCE, TELL US ABOUT THE REACTIONS TO ALL OF THIS. >> I ALREADY
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| 00:59:51 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
LOST THE ARGUMENT. [LAUGHTER] HONESTLY I THINK -- LET ME PUT IT THIS WAY. WE THINK OF THE DEBT AS THE ISSUE. CADET IS GOING FROM 70% OF GDP TO 80% IN...
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| 01:02:39 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
GOOD. LET'S GO TO YOUR QUESTIONS. I WOULD ASK YOU TO WAIT FOR THE MICROPHONE. IDENTIFY YOURSELF BEFORE YOU ASK THE QUESTION. WHO WANTS TO GO FIRST? >>...
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| 01:03:03 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
WITH A MIDDLE EAST BROADCASTING. I WANT TO FOLLOW ON YOUR ORIGINAL QUESTION. WE ARE SICK OR THEY ARE SICK, ONE OR THE OTHER. YOU TALKED ABOUT THE DEBT...
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| 01:03:57 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
SPEAK WITH MORE AUTHORITY THAN ME, MY OWN VIEW IS THAT SOME EXPENSES WILL BE CUT BACK. THE CHANCES OF US IN GAUGING MILITARILY -- IN GAUGINENGAGING WITHOUT...
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| 01:06:09 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ON THIS IN TERMS OF ADDED TIME WHEN YOU CAN SEE IN THE ARAB WORLD, IT CAN BE IMPORTANT IN TERMS OF DEMOCRATIC TRANSITIONS. ISN'T THERE A DANGER IN ALL...
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| 01:06:31 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
MEASURE HOW MUCH IS GOING TO BE AFFECTED. IT IS FOOLISH. THESE ARE TRIVIAL AMOUNTS OF MONEY. THEY ARE THE EASIEST LOW HANGING FRUIT BECAUSE THEY HAVE...
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| 01:07:30 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THANK YOU. I LIKE HIS OPTIMISM BUT LET ME THROW UP A FEW OTHER THOUGHTS THAT MIGHT WEAKEN THE U.S. ROLE OVERSEAS AND HAVE YOU SHOOT THEM DOWN. >> IT IS...
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| 01:07:45 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
JOB. [LAUGHTER] I AM UP HERE ALONE. >> A DECLINING CONFIDENCE TO
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| 01:07:55 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
DO THE RIGHT THING. IN THE 1950'S AND 1960'S, THE PUBLIC BELIEVES, GIVEN TO THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. THEY WILL SABA. THAT CONFIDENCE IS NO LONGER THERE....
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| 01:09:24 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ONE THAT IS MOST PERSUASIVE IS CONSTRAINED RESOURCES. IF YOU HAVE CONSTRAINED RESOURCES, IN A MECHANICAL SENSE YOU HAVE LESS ABILITY TO WIELD INFLUENCE...
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| 01:11:02 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
II. IT IS NOT 500,000 TROOPS. YOUR FOR THIS A HUNDRED TIMES. FORGIVE ME. WE HAVE ENGAGED IN A SIGNIFICANT MILITARY ACTION WATT -- ROUGHLY ONCE EVERY...
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| 01:12:11 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
FROM AMERICAN UNIVERSITY. I AM A QUESTION TO KEN AND BOB. CHINA IS AIMING TO INCREASE ITS ARMY POWER. WHY WORRY ABOUT CHINA AND? D ARMY POWER? THANK...
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| 01:12:40 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
YOU GO AHEAD. UNLESS YOU WANT TO SAY SOMETHING I CAN AGREE WITH. [LAUGHTER] >> AS YOU CAN TELL, BOB AND
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| 01:12:51 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
I ENJOYED AGREEING WITH EACH OTHER. AS I ENTER STAND YOUR QUESTION, WHY IS THE WORLD WORRIED THAT CHINA IS BEING STRENGTHENED ON ECONOMY GIVEN THEY...
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| 01:13:08 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
AND DESIRE FOR AMERICA TO HELP MILITARY POWER. -- HAVE MILITARY POWER. >> LET ME SPEAK
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| 01:13:19 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
TO THE ECONOMY. ON THE CHINESE SIDE, THERE ARE SEVERAL CONCERNS. ONE IS THAT CHINA AND ASSERTS IT HAS NO AGGRESSIVE INTENT. BUT ITS PLANS FOR DEVELOPMENT...
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| 01:16:26 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THAT UNITED STATES THE IS NOT VERY CONSTRAINED ACCORDING TO THE STATISTICS. >>
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| 01:16:34 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
HISTORIANS MAY ARGUE. I WAS DEALING WITH, WHAT TO ME -- WHY DO PEOPLE WORRY ABOUT WHAT CHINA IS DOING? >> I WANT TO
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| 01:16:45 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
GO TO MIDPOINT ABOUT NATO. THIS PERCEPTION THAT MADE NO -- NATO CANNOT SUSTAIN THE ROLE IT HAS SUSTAINED IN THE PAST. >> AND DO YOU WANT
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| 01:17:05 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ME RESPOND TO THE OTHER HALF? THE >> TALK ABOUT NATO FIRST OF ALL. >> ON NATO, WE MADE A MISTAKE
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| 01:17:15 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IN BELIEVING THAT NATO COULD BE SOMETHING OTHER THAN IT WAS IN THE COLD WAR. WHAT IT WAS DURING THE COLD WAR WAS A STATIC FORCE IN PLACE. THE ROLE OF...
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| 01:18:38 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
NOW. I THINK HE IS RIGHT ON ASKING TOO MUCH OF THE EUROPEAN ALLIES. OF COURSE NATO IS NOT JUST THE EUROPEAN ALLIES BUT THE CANADIANS AS WELL WHO ALSO...
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| 01:21:12 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
SUCCEEDS LIKE SUCCESS. IF KHADDAFI IS -- LEAVES TRIPOLI AS HE MAY WELL DO, IT WILL BE SEEN AS A VICTORY FOR NATO. THEY DO NOT COME BACK. >> ONE QUESTION...
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| 01:21:36 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF MARYLAND PUBLIC POLICY SCHOOL. IT HAS BEEN INTERESTING TO LISTEN TO THIS BUT WHAT I SENSE IS LASTING IS A DISCUSSION OF THE ARABS SPRING. THEY HAVE...
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| 01:22:06 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THAT IS FOR ME. [LAUGHTER] I WAS TRYING TO ESCAPE THE MIDDLE EAST. I THINK THAT THIS FUNCTION WE HAVE BEEN TALKING ABOUT AFFECTS OUR ABILITY TO BE EFFECTIVE...
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NOTE: The transcript for this program was compiled from uncorrected Closed Captioning.