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GUEST, -
YORK IS A POLLSTER JOHN ZOGBY.
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| 00:00:04 |
HOST, -
GUEST: HELLO, STEVE. HOST: AS YOU LOOK INTO THESE NUMBERS, WHERE IS OBAMA'S WEAKNESS? GUEST: HE IS DOING VERY WELL AMONG LATINO VOTERS, BUT NOT QUITE...
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| 00:00:24 |
GUEST, -
CERTAINLY LEADS BY 25, 26
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| 00:00:28 |
HOST, -
POINTS, BUT IN ORDER TO MAKE SURE THAT HE CLOSES THE DEAL HE WILL HAVE TO GET A BELT 65, 66% OF LATINO VOTERS AND
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| 00:00:38 |
GUEST, -
WE'RE SEEING HIM AT ANYWHERE BETWEEN 59% TO 61%. OTHER THAN THAT, HE IS ALMOST WHERE HE NEEDS TO BE AT THIS POINT IN TIME. IT IS NOT SO MUCH THAT HE...
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| 00:01:23 |
HOST, -
HE NEEDS TO GO WHERE HIS STRENGTH HAS TRADITIONALLY BEEN WHICH IS THE CENTER AMONG INDEPENDENTS AND MODERATES.
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| 00:01:32 |
GUEST, -
HE IS TRUE IN THOSE TWO GROUPS AROUND 20 POINTS. HE IS SOLID WITH REPUBLICANS AND CONSERVATIVES. BUT HE IS LOSING SOME SUPPORT AMONG VOTERS OVER 65 YEARS...
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| 00:02:53 |
HOST, -
YEAR, EVEN BEFORE WE HAD THE NOMINEES ESTABLISHED, AND RIGHT THROUGH AS WE HAVE TRACKED THROUGHOUT THE YEAR, THEY ARE TELLING US, OVER 80%, WE WANT A...
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| 00:03:07 |
GUEST, -
CAN WORK WITH THE OPPOSITION, SOMEONE WHO CAN MANAGE THE GOVERNMENT COMPETENTLY. THEY ARE NOT IN THE THE ONE ANYTHING PARTISAN OR IDEOLOGICAL. THEY WANT...
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| 00:04:14 |
HOST, -
GUEST: THAT IS INTERESTING. THIS IS BASICALLY THAT OBAMA IS DOING WITH A DEMOCRAT NORMALLY DOES. A DEMOCRAT NORMALLY HAS A SOLID BASE AMONG LOWER INCOME...
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| 00:04:38 |
GUEST, -
TRADITIONALLY ARE RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE INCOME GROUPS. BUT WITH OBAMA HOLDING HIS OWN IN THE MIDDLE INCOME GROUPS, THIS IS WHY HE IS LEADING. IT IS IN...
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| 00:05:33 |
HOST, -
IN OCTOBER 2000, VICE-PRESIDENT AL GORE HAD A SINGLE-DIGIT LEAD OVER GEORGE W. BUSH, SOME POLLS HAD HIM UP BY THREE OR FOUR PERCENTAGE POINTS, OTHERS...
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| 00:06:25 |
GUEST, -
CANDIDATE, IS IT ALL OVER? WHO WILL WRITE THE OBITUARY FOR WHOEVER IS BEHIND? WE SAW THAT THERE WERE TWISTS AND TURNS BACK THEN. THAT IS ENOUGH FOR ME...
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| 00:09:30 |
GUEST, -
DEMOCRAT, OR VICE VERSA, AND ALL OF YOUR FRIENDS, THINK ABOUT ALL THE CLUSTERS ALL OVER THE COUNTRY WHERE. WE ARE HEARING. WHERE WE ARE HEARING A MYRIAD...
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| 00:11:02 |
HOST, -
WITH REGARD TO OBAMA E-MAILS, AND GET THEM THROUGH A RELATIVE AND I THINK THAT ALL THIS MUSLIM STUFF ABOUT HIM IS JUST A COVER FOR RACISM. BUT MY QUESTION...
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| 00:12:03 |
GUEST, -
2006, AN AFRICAN- AMERICAN CANDIDATE FOR THE U.S. SENATE GOT MORE VOTES IN TENNESSEE PRE-ELECTION DAY THAN THE POLLS SHOW THAT HE WOULD. ALL THROUGH...
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| 00:13:43 |
HOST, -
GUEST: I'M NOT SURE HOW THE OTHERS DO IT. I KNOW WHAT I DO, WHICH IS TO ASK BASIC QUESTIONS ABOUT RACE BEHAVIOR AND RACIAL ATTITUDES, MEANING DO YOU...
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| 00:14:06 |
GUEST, -
RACE? DO YOU HAVE A FRIEND WHO IS SOMEONE OF A DIFFERENT RACE? WE GET THEM DOWN TOA CORE OF PEOPLE WHO ARE EITHER ISOLATED OR ISOLATED IN THEIR OPINION....
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| 00:15:28 |
HOST, -
GOOD MORNING. CALLER: GOOD MORNING, STEVE I HAVE YOU GIVE ME HALF AS MUCH TIME AS YOU HAVE GIVEN THE REPUBLICAN CALLERS. MR. ZOGBY, A THINK THE MOST...
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| 00:16:42 |
GUEST, -
EXIT POLLS? EXIT POLLS USUALLY WERE SUCH THAT YOU COULD GO TO THE BANK WITH THE RESULTS AT 1:00 P.M. IN THE AFTERNOON WHILE THE EXIT POLLING WAS STILL...
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| 00:18:38 |
HOST, -
GIVEN WHERE THERE WERE NOT ENOUGH VOTING MACHINES IN AFRICAN-AMERICAN PRESSINGS, WHERE WAS KNOWN THAT THERE WERE BIASED AGAINST THE DEMOCRATS. THIS IS...
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| 00:19:36 |
GUEST, -
IF YOU HAVE A SITUATION SUCH AS IN THE UKRAINE WHERE THE REFORMER WINS IN THE EXIT POLLS BY 11 BUT THE OFFICIAL COUNT IS THE INCUMBENT WINNING BY 11,...
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| 00:21:01 |
HOST, -
OF WHO IS IN THE LEAD BY PULLING ONLY THAT MANY? GUEST: THAT IS A VERY GOOD QUESTION AND THE SHORT ANSWER IS THE SIMPLE LAW
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| 00:21:11 |
GUEST, -
OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS, THAT I KNOW THAT WITH A SAMPLE OF 1200 IF I CONDUCTED THE POLL THE SAME WAY WHICHES RANDOM PROBABILITY SAMPLING, EVERY...
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| 00:21:26 |
GUEST, -
I DEFINE NATIONWIDE -- HAS TO HAVE THE SAME CHANCE OF BEING SELECTED AS ANY OTHER HOUSEHOLD IN THE AREA, THAT IF I DO THE SAME POLL 100 TIMES, IN 95...
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| 00:23:16 |
HOST, -
DIFFERENCES, SLIGHT DIFFERENCES BETWEEN CELLULAR TELEPHONE-ONLY PEOPLE AND LAND MINE ACCESSIBLE TO YOUNG PEOPLE. INTERESTINGLY, NO
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| 00:23:29 |
GUEST, -
POLITICAL, ATTITUDINAL, OR BEHAVIORAL DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE TWO. . WILL THERE BE A PROBLEM AS WE HAVE A PROLIFERATION OF THE CELL PHONE ONLY HOUSEHOLDS?...
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| 00:24:29 |
HOST, -
DIVERSITY OF PUBLIC WHO WERE THERE, A TESTIMONY TO HOW THINGS HAVE CHANGED. BUT WHEN I WENT DOWN TO PORTSMOUTH, I TALKED TO MANY OF THE VOTERS AT THAT...
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| 00:26:13 |
GUEST, -
THE VOTER WHO IS NOT GOING TO VOTE. FOR. -- WHO IS NOT GOING TO VOTE FOR OBAMA. THERE ARE NOT THE USUAL CODE WORDS THAT YOU HERE. THERE ARE SOME WHO...
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| 00:27:45 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
AND ELIMINATE MONDAY'S. THEN GET AN AVERAGE FROM TUESDAY, WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY. FRIDAY WE'LL CALL 400 AND ELIMINATE TUESDAY. WE'LL GET AN AVERAGE THEN...
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| 00:28:50 |
HOST, -
PAKISTAN. AT THE BOTTOM OF THE HOUR WE'LL OPEN OUR PHONE LINES AND YOU CAN TELL US WHAT'S ON YOUR MINDS. LATER IN THE PROGRAM WE WILL TALK TO THE...
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| 00:29:04 |
GUEST, -
NOW, A SHORT BREAK AND BACK IN A
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| 00:29:06 |
HOST, -
MOMENT. >> WEDNESDAY, THE THIRD AND FINANCIAL PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE BETWEEN SENATORS BARACK OBAMA AND JOHN MCCAIN.
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NOTE: The transcript for this program was compiled from uncorrected Closed Captioning.