| 00:00:00 |
none, -
MINUTES. >> GOOD AFTERNOON, EVERYBODY. WELCOME TO THE AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE. >> FORCES OF EVIL. >> I HAVE NEVER HAD THAT HAPPEN. ARE WE ALL RIGHT?...
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| 00:00:25 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
AGAIN TO THE AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE. I AM DANIELLE PLETKA. THIS IS OUR
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| 00:00:32 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
EVENT ON ASSESSING THE SURGE IN IRAQ. BEFORE THE SURGE HAD EVEN REACHED ITS
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| 00:00:39 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
FULL POTENTIAL JUST WEEKS AGO WITH THE FOOTFALL OF THE LAST SOLDIER LANDED IN IRAQ, WE HAD HEARD THAT THE STRATEGY HAD FAILED, THAT, IN FACT, THE SURGE...
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| 00:04:27 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
PRETTY MUCH THE MAJOR CONTESTED AREAS THAT THE CURRENT OPERATION IS INVOLVED IN, AND I AM GOING TO TALK A LITTLE BIT ABOUT AN ASSESSMENT FROM THAT,...
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| 00:11:16 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
BEGINNING OF THIS OPERATION. INAPPROPRIATE TERM WOULD BE A COUNTER OFFENSIVE APPEARED TO COUNTER THE ENEMY'S OFFENSIVE. WE DID WITH THE INVASION OF...
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| 00:29:28 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
RECOMMEND A PHASED TRANSITION. IT
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| 00:29:34 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
WOULD GO TO ABOUT 60,000 OR SO BY THE END OF THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION. AT THE SAME TIME, WE RECOMMEND A NATIONAL EFFORT TO WRAP UP OUR ADVISORY CAPACITY....
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| 00:47:08 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
DISAGREE WITH IN WHAT HE SAID. FIRST OF ALL, I WOULD LIKE TO NOTE THAT IRAQ IS NOT AN INFINITELY LARGE COUNTRY. AS WE TALK ABOUT TERRORISTS MOVING...
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| 00:56:44 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THE BRIGADE THAT HAS BEEN ASSISTING THE I IRAQI BRIGADE TO UNDERTAKE CLEARING OPERATIONS. THERE IS MORE GOING ON JUST LET'S CLEAR BAGHDAD AND WE WILL...
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| 01:03:45 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IT IS NOT A SOLUTION TO ALL OF THE PROBLEMS IN IRAQ. A MAJOR CHALLENGE THAT WE FACE IS HOW DO WE GET THE IRAQI GOVERNMENT TO CAPITALIZE ON THE PROGRESS...
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| 01:06:10 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
LANELINE FOR GETTING WHAT WE WANTED TO GET DONE. ARE WE SO I AMMPATIENTIMPATIENT? OR HAVE WE DECIDED THAT THIS IS A FAILURE AND WE DON'T WANT TO ...
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| 01:07:23 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IF I COULD REMIND EVERYBODY OF HOUR GROUND RULES. IF YOU WOULD BE KIND ENOUGH TO RAISE YOUR HAND, WAIT FOR THE HIKE PHONE, PLEASE. WHEN YOU RECEIVE
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| 01:07:33 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IT PLEASE IDENTIFY YOURSELF AND PUT YOUR STATEMENT IN A FORM OF A QUESTION, MAKE IT BRIEF AND ONLY ONE QUESTION PER PERSON THIS TIME. THANK YOU. >> THIS...
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| 01:08:08 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
DEALING WITH IRANIANS THAT ARE
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| 01:08:10 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IN IRAQ AND WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR THE PLAN WE HAVE IN ITS SUCCESS IF WE'RE NOT ABLE TO DETERROR INCREASE BE IRANIAN INTERVENTION. >> I THINK...
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| 01:08:49 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
WILL SEE THAT UNTIL VERY RECENTLY WE HAD NO FORCES ON THOSE LINES OF COMMUNICATION AND WE HAVE NOT BEEN GOING AFTER THE SECRET CELL LEADERS. I THINK...
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| 01:09:46 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
R@ @ @ @ @ >> THEY HAVE BEEN TRAINED TO ADMINISTER THESE PROJECTILES. THEY HAVE RECEIVED ROCKET AND MORTAR TRAINING. ALL OF THAT HAS IMPACTED...
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| 01:11:08 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ARE INSIDE IRAQ. THE IRANIANS EUROPE TO MISCHIEF IN AFGHANISTAN IN AIDING AND ABETTING THE INSURGENTS THERE WITH TECHNICAL ADVICE AND ENHANCED WEAPON...
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| 01:12:35 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
TALKING ABOUT DOING WHAT THE IRANIANS WANT. THEY WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE STRONG INTERESTS. THEY WILL CONTINUE TO INTERVENE. THE SHAPE OF THAT, WE CAN...
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| 01:13:25 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IT, PLEASE? THE SURGE ENDS IN THE SPRING OF 2008. THAT'S
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| 01:13:29 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
WHEN THE UNITS ARE DUE TO ROTATE OUT, UNLESS WE LINK THE TOURS FROM 16 TO 18 MONTHS, THAT'S GOING TO HAPPEN. NEITHER ONE OF THOSE SEEMS POLITICALLY POSSIBLE....
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| 01:13:43 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
LAST PAST THE SPRING
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| 01:13:44 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF 2008, I
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| 01:13:46 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
WAS WONDERING FROM GENERAL KEANE AND FROM FRED KAGAN, WHAT YOUR IDEA OF A POST SURGE LOOKS LIKE? I WOULD AGREE WITH YOU THAT THE SURGE OPERATION...
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| 01:16:00 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
TO BE OPEN TO. THAT HAVING BEEN SET, THE OVER ALL STRATEGY THAT WE ENUNCIATED WAS RECENTLY REPEATED, OVER THERE WAS, YOU REDUCE THE LEVEL OF VIOLENCE...
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| 01:17:45 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THE COUNTER OFF FENSS IN BAGHDAD AND THE SUCCESS THAT IS BEEN HAD IN UNDERMINING THEIR SUPPORT STRUCTURE LOCALLY AND THIS IS HOW IT HAS TO BE...
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| 01:18:36 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
WE PURSUE SHOULD DO THAT. A LOT OF THE WORK THAT NEEDS TO BE DONE OVER THE COMING YEARS IS
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| 01:18:40 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
LIKELY TO BE IN SOMETHING ANALOGOUS TO A CONTACT GROUP BUT AS YOU
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| 01:18:46 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
KNOW, OF ALL THE INVOLVED STATES, AS YOU KNOW, AS THAT IS UNDERTAKEN, THERE ARE SIDE NEGOTIATIONS. DO I HAVE A LOT OF HOPE THAT WE ARE GOING TO HAVE...
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| 01:20:05 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
TONON IT, BECAUSE OF THE NATURE OF THOSE OPERATIONS AND THE FORCES THAT WE ARE USING TO PURSUE. ANYBODY THAT'S FROM IRAN THAT'S ASSISTING THE IRAQIS,...
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| 01:20:22 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IS, WE ARE CONSIDERABLELY MORE AS GRESS SIVE BECAUSE THE FACTS ARE ON THE TABLE. TWO OF THE THREE GROUPS THAT I MENTIONED AND THEIR IMMEDIATE OBJECTIVE...
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| 01:21:21 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
TURKEY'S MILITARY INTERVENTION TO IRAQ HAS SOME KIND OF EFFECT ON SURGE POLICY IN IRAQ? >>
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| 01:21:26 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
LET ME REPHRASE THE QUESTION SO EVERYBODY COULD HEAR YOU WITHOUT REFERENCE TO WHAT OTHER PEOPLE THINK ABOUT THIS. TISHG TURKISH TROOPS MASSING ON...
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| 01:21:47 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT NUMBERS OF TURKISH TROOPS ALREADY IN IRAQ, OF COURSE. ANY ONE ABOVE OF OUR PANELISTS? >> IF WE CONTINUE TO STABILIZE THE SITUATION...
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| 01:22:23 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
DESTABILIZES AND WE BEGIN TO RETURN TO '06 LEVEL OF VIOLENCE AND THERE IS A BREAKDOWN IN THE GOVERNMENT'S CAPACITY TO CONTROL, THEN YOU ARE INVITING...
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| 01:23:13 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
GO AFTER THE P.K.K. AND HELPING THOSE IN KURDISTAN WHO WANT TO DO THAT WILL HELP REDUCE THE LIKELIHOOD OF WAR. DIPLOMAS SIM DIPLOMAS SEE HAS TO...
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| 01:23:57 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
WOULDN'T YOU AGREE? >> I WOULD AGROW WE NEED TO WORK WITH THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE KURDS WHO ARE NOT SUPPORTING THE P.K.K. AND WOULD LIKE TO SEE THEM...
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| 01:24:23 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF THAT BEING THROUGH DIPLOMACY, NOT TERRORISM. >> THE PURPOSE IS NOT TO PROVIDE FOR THE KURDS TO SEE THEIR OWN NATIONAL SECURITY NEEDS HOWEVER THEY...
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| 01:24:51 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
KNOW JUST BACK FROM BAGHDAD. I WILL DIRECT IT TO JIM. WE CAME BACK AND WORKED A MIRACLE. WE UNIFIED DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS BY SAYING THAT WE THINK...
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| 01:25:11 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THAT. HOW CAN WE SERIOUSLY TAKE ANY KIND OF TRANSITION PLAN, IF WE CAN'T GET ANY LONG-RANGE SECURITY COMMITMENT OUT OF CONGRESS, TO FUND BUILDING...
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| 01:25:46 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
TEAMS. THERE IS NOT -- IT'S NOT GOING TO COME QUICKLY. IT'S GOING TO TAKE A YEAR, 18 MONTHS TO BUILD UP THAT CAPACITY. YOU ARE RIGHT. IF IT IS NOT...
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| 01:26:22 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
EXPERIENCE. YOU HAVE JUST DESCRIBED A COMMAND TEAM OF A BRIGADE. WITH ALL RESPECT, I DON'T KNOW HOW YOU FIND 14,000 MORE PEOPLE LIKE THAT WITHOUT BASICALLY...
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| 01:27:29 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
BEGINNING POINT THAT WE THINK NEEDS TO TAKE PLACE. IF YOU LOOK THE ATHE STRUCTURE OF THE TEAM THAT'S PROPOSED, AGAIN, AN AVERAGE, NOT EVERY TEAM WOULD...
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| 01:28:40 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF THOSE FORCES. THE PRESIDENT'S DECISION BACK IN DECEMBER OF '06 TO INCREASE THE SIZE OF THE ARMY AND THE MARINE CORPS IS A STEP IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION....
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| 01:30:10 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ON
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| 01:30:12 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THAT. ANBAR PROVINCE CERTAINLY IS CONSIDERABLE BLI MORE OF A HOMO GENIUSJEAN GENE US THAN OTHER AREAS IN IRAQ. THIS IS AN ATTEMPT FROM THE SUNNIS TO...
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| 01:30:30 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
GOVERNMENT TO GET THE BEST DEAL THEY POSSIBLY CAN, YOU COULD SAY. THE COMMANDERS AS WELL AS THE MALIKI GOVERNMENT RECOGNIZED EARLY ON WHEN THEY UNDERSTOOD...
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| 01:32:56 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ANBAR AWAKENING IS A VERY COMPLICATED MOVEMENT. I THINK IT IS SOMETIMES OVER SIMPLIFIED. THERE IS THE ASPECT OF TRIBAL SHAKS WITH TRIBAL SHAKS TO DO...
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| 01:35:19 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ELSEWHERE AS THEY SIDE UP WITH U.S. FORCES. THAT SAID, I AM VERY PLEASED TO HAVE AGREEMENT ON THIS POINT. I THINK IT'S PERHAPS THE MOST IMPORTANT PHENOMENON...
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| 01:35:53 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THAT VERY QUESTION. LET ME HIT A COUPLE OF POINTS. NUMBER ONE, THE
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| 01:35:56 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
SIZE OF THE ADVISORY TEAMS, AVERAGE SIZE, YOU WANT TO TAYLOR THEM TO THE TASK AND TO THE AREA THEY ARE GOING TO DEPLOY. CURRENTLY, IT AVERAGES ABOUT...
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| 01:36:08 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
TRANSITION TEAM. A SIMILAR NUMBER FOR THE POLICE TRANSITION TEAMS. WE WOULD MORE THAN DOUBLE THAT AGAIN ON AVERAGE TO GET A LARGER TEAM THAT'S MORE...
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| 01:38:20 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
CLEAR WHETHER YOU ARE SAYING AL-QUEDA CAN'T BE DEFEATED BY ANY SURGE OR JUST THIS SURGE DOESN'T HAVE ENOUGH TROOPS AND WE HAVE TO SEND IN MORE TROOPS....
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| 01:38:37 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
DON'T HAVE A CHOICE? THE TRANSITION TO TRAINING A BETTER STRATEGY THAN A SURGE THAT HAS ENOUGH TROOPS OR ARE YOU JUST SAYING THAT'S NECESSARY BECAUSE...
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| 01:39:28 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
OF THE DOMESTIC POLITICS. ALSO, BECAUSE IT'S GOING TO BE A LONG-TERM STRUCK WILL OVERALL. WE ARE SHALL AS A NATION, DURING THE POINT OF STRATEGIC EXHAUSTION,...
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| 01:40:42 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
IN THE BUSH ADMINISTRATIONS
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| 01:40:45 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
POLICY AND POLITICAL WILL WILL CONTINUE TO CRUMBLE, JIM, I DON'T THINK YOUR RATE OF CHANGE ON THE
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| 01:40:51 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
RAMP DOWN FROM
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| 01:40:52 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
160,000 TO 60,000 TROOPS AND THEN ADD ADD VIEW SOURCE AND THEN YOU WILL LOOK AT PLAN B OR C. >> IS THERE A QUESTION? >> I HAVE GOT ONE. WHAT IS THE...
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| 01:41:26 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
ADMINISTRATION
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| 01:41:27 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
CONDUCT PLANNING AROUND THOSE POSSIBILITIES IN THE EVENT THAT WHEREVER THINGS GO WITH RESPECT TO AN AD VIEW SORRY
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| 01:41:37 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
CAPACITY, WHEREVER THINGS GO OFF THE RAIL. WE HAVE IDENTIFIED THREE CRITICAL INTERESTS. NUMBER ONE, AVOIDING AL-QUEDA SAFE HAVENS THAT IT WILL NOT...
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| 01:42:41 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
SOME ELEMENTS OF IT TODAY. AFTER STARTING THIS WAR, THE IDEA OF WALKING OFF AND ALLOWING GENOCIDE TO HAPPEN IS UNTHINKABLE AND WOULD BE UNFORGIVABLE ...
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| 01:43:13 |
Unidentified Speaker, -
THAT WE HAVE MADE IN THIS COUNTRY AND ONE I THINK WE ARE GOING TO RUE. LET ME THANK OUR AUDIENCE FOR AN EXCELLENT SET OF QUESTIONS. OUR PANELISTS...
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NOTE: The transcript for this program was compiled from uncorrected Closed Captioning.