Fiscal Year 2010 Budget Overview

Mar 12, 2009

Senate Committee Budget

Treasury Secretary Geithner gave an overview of President Obama's budget proposals for fiscal year 2010. In his testimony and answers he reaffirmed that the cost of cleaning up all the toxic assets of faltering financial institutions will be at least $1 trillion and outlined some ways in which the federal government could assist banks in .. Read More
Treasury Secretary Geithner gave an overview of President Obama's budget proposals for fiscal year 2010. In his testimony and answers he reaffirmed that the cost of cleaning up all the toxic assets of faltering financial institutions will be at least $1 trillion and outlined some ways in which the federal government could assist banks in disposing of the assets. He also spoke about federal programs to assist homeowners facing potential foreclosure and the need to restructure bank regulations.

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TRANSCRIPT

TIME SPEAKER TEXT
00:00:34 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

(Strikes gavel.) The committee will come to order.

I'd like to welcome the secretary of the...

00:07:48 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Can you skate?

00:07:50 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Can I -- oh, yes, I can skate. North Dakota boy?

(Laughter.)

So I want to emphasize I...

00:10:24 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And let me

pick up there, because I want to praise the secretary. I...

00:18:20 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Welcome. (Laughs.) You know, there's nothing

quite like it, is there?

00:18:24 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

(Off mike.)

00:18:24 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

But this is a debate that we owe the American

people.

00:18:29 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

We do.

00:18:29 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

And you said it very clearly as you came in. This

is a debate we need to have. So we're delighted...

00:18:53 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Happy birthday.

Ranking Member Gregg, members of the committee, it's...

00:29:07 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Secretary, and thank you for that

excellent opening statement. And again, I want...

00:32:25 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Thank you. Let me just start by saying you're

both absolutely right that recovery depends on...

00:36:21 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

All right. I'm -- we're going to have six-minute

rounds. Given the level of interest here today,...

00:36:30 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Let me just respond

quickly to your statement -- your opening statement,...

00:39:52 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, could we go through these? I'd like to

00:39:52 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Just a second. I got one more point here before we

go through them. They're going to run out...

00:41:02 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, can I respond now?

00:41:03 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Of course.

00:41:03 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Could we go back to that first chart?

00:41:05 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Yes. Okay, let's go back to the spending chart.

00:41:07 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

So this is a very important thing to go through.

Okay, a significant part of that -- the resulting...

00:41:36 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Well, then doesn't that -- may I just ask, doesn't

that require you to do -- take action which...

00:41:44 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Absolutely. And what the budget does --

00:41:44 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

And you're indicating --

00:41:46 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, and again --

00:41:46 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

But it doesn't --

00:41:47 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, what the budget does is propose to bring the

deficits down to 3 points -- 3 percentage points...

00:42:04 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

No --

00:42:04 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Now, you're right, if we do not --

00:42:06 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

If you stabilize it at 67 percent of GDP it's not --

a public debt -- it's not sustainable.

00:42:10 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, in --

00:42:10 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

And if you look at the last 20 years, deficits ran

at about 2 percent of GDP.

00:42:15 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, but the judgment of sustainability in all

economists across the spectrum is, what level...

00:44:58 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

And reducing death and debt -- debt and deficit to a

sustainable level is at the core of accomplishing...

00:45:02 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Is absolutely the core -- completely agree.

00:45:02 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

-- which is not accomplished under this budget.

(Gavel strikes.)

00:45:07 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

But Senator, if you -- if your proposal is we

should go -- try to go lower in terms of deficits-to-GDP...

00:45:21 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Start with entitlements.

00:45:21 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

And that's a -- but that's a reasonable

proposition. But 3 percent of GDP is a fiscally sustainable...

00:45:49 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

All right.

Senator Nelson.

00:45:52 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Mr. Secretary, the chairman gave an example that has happened to

a...

00:46:23 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

That was -- that was chairman's statement. But

I'd like to address that.

00:46:27 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

Okay.

00:46:27 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

But, sorry, please --

00:46:27 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

Then my question to you -- and please, we're all

interested in this -- what do you do to control...

00:46:44 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Well, as you know, we have a rather complicated

supervisory structure.

We...

00:48:15 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

So does that mean that the regulators are going to

start being more realistic about the poor...

00:48:27 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You're -- again, you're absolutely right; you

want to make sure the supervisors are not making...

00:48:34 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

Well, they have been in my state and, I assume, in

the chairman's state.

00:48:37 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Well, I know there's a lot of concern about this.

And again, I think that we -- we've tried...

00:48:53 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

Well, I don't know how you do what you do, and you

don't have a lot of your subordinates in...

00:50:22 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, thank you for raising that. It's very

important to start by recognizing that what's...

00:52:53 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

I thank the Senator.

Senator Sessions.

00:52:56 Sessions, JeffU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

And Mr. Secretary, I appreciate your work. You've got a lot of

challenges...

00:56:27 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, thank you. Can I just start with one

point? I've been in public service my entire professional...

00:56:38 Sessions, JeffU.S. Senator

Well, you supervised Wall Street, sort of, as a

Federal Reserve --

00:56:42 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You're absolutely right. As part of my

responsibilities, I've --

00:56:45 Sessions, JeffU.S. Senator

(Inaudible) -- that you were part of. I accept

your response.

00:56:50 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

But my obligation to the American people is to

protect the financial security of this country...

00:57:41 Sessions, JeffU.S. Senator

Is there hesitation? Is there any reluctance, on

the part of Treasury, whatsoever to have that...

00:57:43 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No reluctance again as long as they replace that

with private capital, so that they're again...

00:57:53 Sessions, JeffU.S. Senator

What do you mean, as long as they replace it with

private capital? What if their stress test...

00:58:01 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Well, then they're in a good -- then they're

going to be in a good position to repay the government...

00:58:14 Sessions, JeffU.S. Senator

Wait a minute. And if they don't replace that

capital, are you then going to tell them, no,...

00:58:27 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Well, you know, Senator, I just want to say one

thing. I was not secretary of the Treasury until...

00:58:33 Sessions, JeffU.S. Senator

I understand that.

(Cross talk.)

00:58:33 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

And although I support many of the actions that

were taken by the Congress, over that period...

00:59:11 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Well, the senator's time has expired. If you have

just --

00:59:15 Sessions, JeffU.S. Senator

But the question was ongoing.

(Cross talk.)

00:59:15 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Senator, time has expired. If you have -- if you

have some final point that you wanted to make,...

00:59:25 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Just very quickly we're doing what I think, as

any American would understand, which is that...

01:00:17 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

(Gavels.) Let me just say this to my colleagues.

We're not going to make it at this rate --...

01:00:29 Sessions, JeffU.S. Senator

I was just one minute.

01:00:29 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

No -- but, you know, the -- I know, it's one minute

here and two minutes there, and pretty soon...

01:00:36 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

(Sort of like the billions ?)?

01:00:36 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

(Chuckles.) Yeah, sort of like that. So the -- I

just ask of our colleagues, and I'd ask the...

01:01:08 Stabenow, DebbieU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

And welcome, Mr. Secretary. This discussion or debate going on

reminds...

01:05:05 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, thank you. I think I should start by

saying in the recovery act which you passed, there...

01:05:11 Stabenow, DebbieU.S. Senator

Absolutely.

01:05:11 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

-- in clean energy technologies. And in fact

they're much larger, I believe, if you account...

01:05:43 Stabenow, DebbieU.S. Senator

Well, what I would ask that you look at, again,

is that in the recovery plan -- and I was pleased...

01:06:28 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Thank you.

Senator Bunning is next.

01:06:31 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Secretary Geithner, I see in the press that you have a plan to

save...

01:06:50 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, thank you for raising that. We have

moved --again, we've been in office six weeks....

01:06:56 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

No, but you -- excuse me --

01:06:56 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

But I just want to say this --

01:06:58 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

But --

01:06:58 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Let me explain what we've done.

01:07:00 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

-- but don't -- no, I'm going to let you do that,

because you were part of the problem. You...

01:07:20 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, lots of people --

01:07:20 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

And Ben Bernanke has not denied that before our

committees.

01:07:24 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, lots of people are going to be --

credit, and lots going to -- people are going to...

01:07:28 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

I didn't blame you for it. I said you're credited

for it.

01:07:31 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

But let me just respond to your initial question.

We have got to move and we are moving very...

01:08:17 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Mr. Secretary, I've got six minutes, and I want to

ask some questions.

01:08:22 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

And -- and this is a global crisis. It is in the

interests of the United States that we have...

01:08:38 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Thank you. Last week, AIG's bailout bring a total

to about $180 billion. I don't understand...

01:09:03 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I agree, it is an outrageous thing for our

government to be in the position where a company...

01:09:18 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Have you seen this report?

01:09:18 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I don't see what it -- what it --

01:09:21 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Well, it's a strictly confidential report, "AIG Is

the Risk Systemic." And it was supposed to...

01:09:40 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, I --

01:09:40 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

I got it from the New York examiner of insurance.

01:09:45 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I'm happy to look at it, but I'll tell you my

judgment. AIG is systemic. I wish it were not...

01:10:05 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Where's the bottom line, Mr. Secretary?

01:10:08 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

The bottom -- the bottom line is, is that our job

and my responsibility is to protect the security...

01:10:13 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Where's the bottom line for the American taxpayer,

dollar-wise?

01:10:18 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

The bottom line is that we have to make sure,

given the severity of this crisis and the fragility...

01:10:33 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

I did.

01:10:33 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

-- and look how that --

01:10:34 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

And disagreed completely with what you did.

01:10:37 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, but remember, I was -- if you -- if you look

at the consequences for the American economy...

01:10:43 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

I've looked at the consequences.

01:10:43 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

But if you look at the --

01:10:45 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

I looked at Bear Stearns. I looked at Lehman

Brothers. I looked at all the things that were...

01:10:54 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

And Senator, I do respect your views on this, and

I understand your concerns about it. But this...

01:11:06 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Thank you.

01:11:06 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

And that's my job --

01:11:07 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Thank you.

01:11:07 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

-- and responsibility. And AIG is systemic.

01:11:08 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

The first thing that France did when they went

socialistic was nationalize the banks. We have...

01:11:46 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, are you speaking in favor of

nationalization, or against it?

01:11:48 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

No, no, I'm -- (chuckles).

01:11:48 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Against it.

01:11:50 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

That's really funny. (Laughter.)

01:11:50 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, I wasn't trying to be funny.

I just want to make sure I understand.

You...

01:11:58 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

No, I'm not.

01:11:58 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Okay. So the information on who's taken money

from the government in terms of capital and the...

01:12:05 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

How many banks?

01:12:07 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

It's publicly available on the website. It's in

the hundreds. But what matters is the amount...

01:12:15 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Now -- okay, I understand all those things.

I have a community banker who attacked me out in...

01:12:37 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You're absolutely right. I think this is a

deeply unfair thing, and it causes concern across...

01:12:58 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Right.

01:12:58 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

-- bank, financial -- and that does create this

problem that people, again, who were responsible,...

01:13:18 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

We'll work together to change it. Thank you.

01:13:18 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Senator Cardin.

01:13:21 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Secretary Geithner, first let me tell you what I like about the

Obama...

01:15:45 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Very important -- very important objective. And

I completely share your commitment for us moving...

01:17:00 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

I know the tools are there. We just haven't seen

the results. I'll tell you -- I -- I'm --

01:17:03 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Right, and the -- yeah -- you're right --

01:17:03 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

I can tell you, I meet with small business people

in my state frequently, and the credit is...

01:17:09 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I agree with that.

01:17:09 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

I would just urge you -- first of all, keep us

informed as to what is happening, what the facts...

01:17:24 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Understand that concern. And we're very

committed to fix this and we're moving very aggressively,...

01:17:29 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

I appreciate that.

Let me just talk for a moment, if I might, about these toxic

assets,...

01:17:43 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Yes.

01:17:43 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

Or are you trying to get a -- just a better

evaluation?

01:17:46 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, we're --

01:17:46 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

You're trying to get them off the books. So you're

going to have a private partner -- private-public...

01:17:54 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

To provide an opportunity for them to sell these

assets.

01:17:58 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

And then a private entity would own that -- the

toxic asset, and the bank would get the --

01:18:04 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Sharing the upside with the government, managed

by people who are good at managing these assets.

01:18:10 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

And are the specifics of this proposal now well --

01:18:15 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, we're outlining within the next couple weeks

the details of these proposals so everybody...

01:18:23 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

As you know, predictability is important --

01:18:23 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Very important.

01:18:23 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

-- in all of our businesses, and there's a lot of

speculation out there as to how much risk...

01:18:57 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

And you're absolutely right that it has to come

with absolutely clear, full transparency for...

01:19:01 Cardin, Benjamin L.U.S. Senator

And the last thing I'll just underscore is the real

estate situation. The foreclosures -- February's...

01:19:17 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Thank you. And Senator, you get a prize. You were

right on time. (Laughter.) What a good example.

Senator...

01:19:27 Crapo, Michael "Mike"U.S. Senator

Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman.

And Secretary Geithner, thank you for coming today. I want...

01:21:04 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Well, Senator, this is very important to point

out. That blue line --

01:21:08 Crapo, Michael "Mike"U.S. Senator

Yes.

01:21:08 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

-- for that to happen, you would have to have no

extension of the AMT, you would have to have...

01:21:32 Crapo, Michael "Mike"U.S. Senator

I understand that. And leaving out the potential

for another war, I am one of those who, I'm...

01:22:34 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I want to just underscore this, that it is

absolutely imperative that we lay out a path that...

01:23:26 Crapo, Michael "Mike"U.S. Senator

You just got to my second point that I wanted to

make. And that is, you say that the tax increases...

01:23:53 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, I think, it's a very important question.

I think that again we need to lay out an ambitious...

01:24:28 Crapo, Michael "Mike"U.S. Senator

So are you saying --

01:24:28 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

We just want to be careful not to do that.

01:24:30 Crapo, Michael "Mike"U.S. Senator

So are you saying that if we don't see the more rosy

picture, in 2011, that we may not see the...

01:24:38 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No. I'm just saying that recovery requires that

we keep stimulus sustained until growth is in...

01:24:48 Crapo, Michael "Mike"U.S. Senator

But what about the tax policy? Are you including

tax policy in that?

01:24:53 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Well, again I would say generally of course,

we've got to keep watching things, as they develop....

01:25:29 Crapo, Michael "Mike"U.S. Senator

Well, I ran out of time. I only got to two points.

So -- (inaudible) -- another round.

01:25:31 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I apologize, Senator.

01:25:31 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

I thank the senator. He gets a prize, as well.

Senator Sanders.

01:25:38 Sanders, BernardU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Welcome, Mr. Secretary.

Mr. Secretary, as you well know, there...

01:28:15 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, I want to begin by saying I completely

share your sense of basic outrage and angry...

01:29:05 Sanders, BernardU.S. Senator

Mr. Secretary, all I would say is it has -- this

concept has been in existence under the National...

01:30:00 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, you're absolutely right that we have to

create a system that is less vulnerable to...

01:30:40 Sanders, BernardU.S. Senator

Okay, very briefly -- I mean, we don't have much

time here. You know, I voted against the repeal...

01:31:02 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I completely agree that we don't want to put this

country in the position in the future where...

01:31:21 Sanders, BernardU.S. Senator

Okay. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

01:31:21 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

I thank the Senator.

01:31:23 Sanders, BernardU.S. Senator

And I'm giving you back 17 seconds. Do I get some

credit for that?

01:31:27 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

You are rising to a whole new position.

(Laughter.)

Senator Graham.

01:31:33 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Do you support a biblically-based 10 percent flat tax?

(Laughter.)

01:31:43 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

(Laughs.) I -- I don't like to respond --

01:31:43 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

If you don't have the answer --

01:31:45 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I do not. (Laughter.)

01:31:47 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Well, do you support a temporary suspension of the

mark-to-market rule?

01:31:50 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, that is the prerogative of the SEC. I

want to say one basic thing --

01:31:56 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Okay.

01:31:56 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

-- which is that we're in a period where

investors do not have a lot of confidence in their...

01:32:06 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

From your personal point of view, is it a good idea

or a bad idea?

01:32:09 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

My personal point of view is that we have to be

very careful not to do things that would erode...

01:32:12 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Okay.

01:32:12 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

-- in the people's ability to assess the risks in

exposure to a bank.

01:32:16 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Okay. Well, let's look at -- and you think that

might do that?

01:32:18 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

There are some versions of those proposals that

would have that risk.

01:32:21 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Okay.

01:32:21 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

And like many things, these are complicated,

careful judgments. And -- but I know that my colleague...

01:32:32 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Okay. Let's look at some assumptions that are

being made in this budget process and about the...

01:32:48 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I think that's a reasonable judgment, based on

the evidence available when the budget was put...

01:32:53 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Do you think it's a reasonable judgment now?

01:32:56 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I do think it's a reasonable judgment. But as

you know, that's the kind of judgment we have...

01:33:02 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Would you like to change that judgment?

01:33:05 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Not today I would not.

01:33:05 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Okay. The assumption also was made that

unemployment would peak at 8.1 percent in 2009. Do you...

01:33:16 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, I'll just say it again. I mean, I know

what you're asking, and --

01:33:19 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

It's a simple question. (Chuckles.)

01:33:22 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

(Chuckles.) Again, I've said that that forecast,

done with the independence and integrity that...

01:33:26 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Right. Given what you know today, do you think

that's a reasonable assumption to make?

01:33:32 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, I still believe if you look at the

consensus for private forecasts, they project recovery...

01:33:41 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Well, let's try this again. Do you believe that

the assumption that unemployment will peak in...

01:33:52 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, I'll -- I'm going to say it exactly the

same (this time ?)

01:33:55 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Fair enough. We'll move on.

01:33:55 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

(Chuckles.) Okay.

01:33:55 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Do you believe that if we put limitations on

charitable giving where the maximum deduction would...

01:34:18 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You know, I'll have to look more carefully at it,

but as we've said before -- and I think this...

01:34:32 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Okay --

01:34:32 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

-- in years out there, it would affect a very

small fraction of the American --

01:34:34 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

It's just the concept I'm trying to drive at, that

if we begin to limit the charitable deduction...

01:34:43 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You know, Senator, it depends, as you know, on

what else is happening. And the most important...

01:34:54 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

I think the most important thing you can do is to

reward it when it's done.

Now --

01:34:59 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

But --

01:34:59 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

That's just my assumption.

Let's move on now to the stress test. And number one, thank you

for...

01:35:21 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I'm very glad you said that and I completely

agree.

01:35:23 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

-- very, very difficult assignments. But --

01:35:25 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No more important, no more noble opportunity.

01:35:27 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

The few, the proud, the brave, the Treasury people.

Yeah. (Laughter.)

But where was I...

01:35:36 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Just don't want to say "the few."

01:35:36 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Yeah, yeah. That's right.

01:35:36 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Want to say "the many" and the proud and the

brave.

01:35:39 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

That's right.

The bottom line about the stress test is that we're going to put

some of...

01:35:48 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Yeah. I'm not sure the word "stress" is the best

used in this context. Again --

01:35:52 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Well, that's what y'all call it.

01:35:54 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Well, that's the sort of standard term.

Remember, every institution --

01:35:58 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Well, whatever you're doing, you're trying to find

out if in some reasonable scenarios, banks...

01:36:04 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

That's the objective, yes.

01:36:04 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

You're testing these banks.

01:36:07 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Yes.

01:36:07 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

To determine adequate capitalization, is it the

Tier 1 regulatory standard you'll be using?

01:36:14 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

We're leaving the regulatory standards in place.

But, you know, as you know, what matters is...

01:36:21 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Sure. That's the risk. But what will you be using

to judge adequate capitalization?

01:36:24 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

We're going to look at the existing regulatory

requirements, both in terms of the overall amount...

01:36:31 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Will it be the Tier 1 system?

01:36:34 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Yeah. The existing framework will remain in

place.

01:36:34 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Okay.

01:36:38 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

What matters is to look forward --

01:36:38 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Sure.

01:36:38 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

-- at what might happen in a more adverse

recession.

01:36:41 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Okay. If a -- if the government owns 36 percent of

common stock of a company calls -- a bank...

01:36:58 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, that's not the case today, although

under the proposal that they presented to their...

01:37:07 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Is that free market?

01:37:07 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I would say that we're going to do what is

necessary in the interest of the American financial...

01:37:14 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Okay. I've got 18 seconds left. Are you assuming

that TARP III would pass this Congress to put...

01:37:23 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You know, my operating assumption, Senator, is

that there is widespread recognition across the...

01:37:33 Graham, LindseyU.S. Senator

Do you think TARP III will pass this Congress if

you made a request?

01:37:36 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Our hope is that the Congress will come together

and do what's necessary to make sure the financial...

01:37:43 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Senator Murray. Thank you, Senator.

Senator Murray.

01:37:48 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And happy

birthday to you. I can't think of anybody else who'd rather...

01:38:05 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Yes.

01:38:05 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

And do you know how much it is?

01:38:08 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, I'd be happy to get back to you with the

specific numbers, but it's a lot of money.

01:38:14 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

In the hundreds of billions.

01:38:17 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No.

01:38:17 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

More than 150 billion (dollars).

01:38:21 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

For Bank of America and --

01:38:21 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

And Merrill Lynch.

01:38:24 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No.

01:38:24 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Including guarantees -- debt guarantees?

01:38:28 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

But the right -- I mean, again, people have

different assessments. What we want to look at is...

01:38:38 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Okay. If you could -- but it is a substantial

amount of --

01:38:41 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

It's a very substantial amount of money.

01:38:41 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

And that was necessary because we needed to make

sure we were stabilizing the industry. I understand...

01:38:48 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

That's right.

01:38:48 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Okay. And Bank of America recently formalized the

acquisition of Merrill Lynch in January. Correct?

01:38:56 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

That's correct.

Now, Senator, can I just -- I just want to say one thing. I'm

the secretary...

01:39:02 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Yeah.

01:39:02 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I'm not, and nor would my predecessors have been,

in the position of responding to detailed...

01:39:15 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

I appreciate it. Where I'm going with this is,

they have received a large amount of money from...

01:39:24 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

A very substantial amount.

01:39:24 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Correct. And have they been profitable since they

received that money?

01:39:29 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Again, that's not a judgment I can make or share

with you today, although I think you'll see...

01:39:41 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Well, okay. Let me just ask you, do you think it's

appropriate, given the financial condition...

01:39:53 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, I find it deeply offensive what

happened, the compensation practices across this country...

01:40:36 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Okay. I appreciate that, because my constituents

are hurting. Families and businesses are really...

01:41:14 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Assistance comes with conditions. It's not a

right, it's a privilege. Those conditions will...

01:41:46 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Okay.

01:41:46 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Those are our basic objectives. And I completely

share your concern about it, understand how...

01:41:50 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Okay. I appreciate that, and I think it's really

important that we continue to send that message...

01:42:40 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Thank you very much for raising that. Very

important to understand that our fortunes are closely...

01:43:25 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

I think that's so important. We have to understand

that this is having a huge impact. So I'm...

01:43:30 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You're absolutely right.

01:43:30 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

And I'm extremely concerned about some of our

countries in Central and Eastern European who...

01:43:45 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You're absolutely right that they're facing a set

of challenges far more acute; that's true...

01:44:16 Murray, PattyU.S. Senator

Particularly since our U.S. banks have invested in

many of those countries. So longer conversation,...

01:44:30 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Senator Alexander.

01:44:32 Alexander, LamarU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Mr. Secretary, thank you for being here, for your good humor and

your...

01:44:58 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I'm not familiar with that book, but it sounds

like I should be.

01:45:00 Alexander, LamarU.S. Senator

Well, it's an interesting book. It tries to

compare as you face decisions to make, see if there...

01:48:27 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, very important to say at the beginning

-- and the president has said this and he'll...

01:49:42 Alexander, LamarU.S. Senator

Well, I have -- I have just a few seconds left.

And I respect what you're saying. And I -- I'm...

01:50:42 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Yes, Senator, maybe I could just end by making

one very important point.

You're...

01:51:15 Alexander, LamarU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Secretary.

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

01:51:17 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Senator Whitehouse?

01:51:21 Whitehouse, SheldonU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

And thank you, Mr. Secretary. I know it's been a long morning,

and...

01:56:44 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, I want to -- I believe, I think, it's

responsive to your question. But let me say it...

01:56:58 Whitehouse, SheldonU.S. Senator

Yes.

01:56:58 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

We let people structure a product, to take

advantage of the optimal mix of tax, accounting and...

01:58:04 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Senator Merkley.

01:58:08 Merkley, JeffU.S. Senator

Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.

And I certainly applaud the administration on putting forward...

01:59:21 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Well, and you're right about the problem. And

the challenge is to try to make sure that with...

02:00:16 Merkley, JeffU.S. Senator

If I understand your point, to some degree, the

lower market valuation now is the result of...

02:00:26 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You can take the mortgage example as a simple

example. If you had to sell your house tomorrow...

02:01:02 Merkley, JeffU.S. Senator

A second issue that has been raised is whether the

bondholders -- the bank bondholders, if you...

02:01:40 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

It's not a close call, Senator. It is necessary,

to protect the financial system and get recovery...

02:02:16 Merkley, JeffU.S. Senator

I appreciate your analysis. It is a little

difficult to explain this in talking to taxpayers...

02:02:31 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

But -- that's right. But you know, our basic

obligation, again, is to help protect the overall...

02:02:50 Merkley, JeffU.S. Senator

To restore -- to sustain and improve liquidity --

02:02:52 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Exactly --

02:02:52 Merkley, JeffU.S. Senator

-- we're supporting our economies everywhere?

02:02:52 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

The president said it best. Economies recover a

well-functioning financial system. Credit is...

02:03:01 Merkley, JeffU.S. Senator

Yes.

02:03:01 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

There is no path to recovery that doesn't start

with a better foundation for the provision of...

02:03:07 Merkley, JeffU.S. Senator

One of the things that is very frustrating to me,

as, I think, many of the -- the circumstances...

02:03:48 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You're absolutely right that, you know, this

crisis in part was caused by basic failures of...

02:04:19 Merkley, JeffU.S. Senator

When you say you completely agree with me, does

that include the detail that we should end steering...

02:04:28 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I would -- I meant to say that I completely agree

with the broad objectives. I will look at...

02:04:48 Merkley, JeffU.S. Senator

Thank you. I'd love to work with your team in

terms of that rule of the road -- and I see I'm...

02:04:57 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Senator Wyden?

02:04:57 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

And Secretary Geithner, it's good to have you here. And I know

you've...

02:06:14 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Certainly open. I wasn't part of those

conversations, but I'll catch up to where you are and...

02:06:20 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

That'd be very helpful. I would especially

appreciate your listening to the good folks at the...

02:07:09 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No.

02:07:11 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

Give that, what steps are needed so that the

government doesn't face yet another all-time-record...

02:07:47 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Many things. You have to start by making sure

that institutions that pose potential risk to...

02:09:06 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

Will you propose a legislative and regulatory remedy

to prevent future AIGs?

02:09:12 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Yes.

02:09:12 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

And if so, when?

02:09:14 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

We are beginning a process -- we've begun a

process of consultation with the relevant committees....

02:09:34 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

One question that's immediate, and I started getting

into this with Chairman Bernanke. For the...

02:10:09 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I know -- I understand that view and I know that

my colleague Chairman Bernanke and his colleagues...

02:10:27 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

All right. I'm going to be following up with you on

that, because to keep the public in the...

02:10:45 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Senator, could I -- Mr. Chairman, could I just

say one last thing on this?

02:10:48 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

(Off mike.)

02:10:48 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

It's very important to clarify this. You know,

when the government has to act to preserve the...

02:11:39 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

If the chairman could just give me two seconds on

that point -- I think that's a legitimate...

02:11:58 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I feel strongly, as you do.

02:11:58 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Let me -- a commitment we made to the secretary's

people is we'd get him out of there at 12:15....

02:12:38 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

Of course, that would concern all of us. But you

have to look at the source of the difference...

02:13:06 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

I did say to you my expectation is CBO is going to

come back and we will know in the days ahead...

02:13:27 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

I have a series of quick questions. When you set up

this effort, which is the public-private...

02:14:09 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

We've said that we think that we -- to be

effective in this context, we need to be committed...

02:14:20 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Is that to be done by guarantees?

02:14:20 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, that would be the amount of financial --

02:14:24 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Or insurance?

02:14:24 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

That's the amount of financing that we have to

mobilize in this context.

Now, on the valuation...

02:15:30 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Well, that's good. You've given us a number that

you're working with, a trillion dollars. What's...

02:15:39 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, no, no --

02:15:39 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Are we going to have to insure it? Or are we going

to put a floor underneath?

02:15:43 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

You know, that depends on the precise structure

and the amount of capital that we put in alongside...

02:16:11 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Maybe I don't understand, but I presume the way

you're going to get the private sector to participate...

02:16:30 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

They're going to have to take some risk, too.

The precise mix of risk and return depends on...

02:17:00 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Well, when you announce this, do you expect that you

will -- that the public -- the market will...

02:17:15 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I would say you'll be able to see immediately the

basic -- basics of the structure, and you'll...

02:17:32 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

To -- up to a trillion dollars?

02:17:32 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

No, the amount of capital from the private sector

won't be in the range of a trillion. A trillion...

02:17:48 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Will this be done by the Fed? Or will it be done by

the Treasury?

02:17:50 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

This will require, given the basic authorities we

have together, that we're working together...

02:17:58 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

And will this require the TARP 3 -- any TARP 3

money? Or will you be able to do this within...

02:18:03 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

We certainly can start it within the resources we

have.

02:18:07 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

Thank you.

02:18:07 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Mr. Secretary, you know, you can see what this is

like. You know, it's pretty intense at times...

02:18:34 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

That's because of our shared commitment to fiscal

responsibility over the medium term.

02:18:38 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

Yes, sir. And you know how I believe in this very,

very deeply as I know you do. And we've got...

02:19:41 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

I look forward to that. And thank you, for what

you both said.

And Senator Gregg, we share...

02:19:50 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

That's because you went to school at Dartmouth.

(Laughter.)

02:19:54 Geithner, Timothy F.Secretary

We're going to disagree on some things. But on

this basic imperative, of getting us back to...

02:20:14 Gregg, Judd AlanU.S. Senator

There is fertile ground here in this Senate,

especially between myself and the chairman, for...

02:20:19 Conrad, KentU.S. Senator

I thank the secretary very much, and the committee

will stand in adjournment.

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