Senate Committee Fiscal Year 2010 Budget Overview

Mar 4, 2009

Senate Committee Finance

Treasury Secretary Geithner gave an overview of President Obama's budget proposals for fiscal year 2010. He spoke about the projected budget deficit of $1.8 trillion in fiscal 2009, saying $1.3 trillion of that total was inherited from the Bush administration. He also said that $65 billion of new investments will be made in clean energy .. Read More
Treasury Secretary Geithner gave an overview of President Obama's budget proposals for fiscal year 2010. He spoke about the projected budget deficit of $1.8 trillion in fiscal 2009, saying $1.3 trillion of that total was inherited from the Bush administration. He also said that $65 billion of new investments will be made in clean energy technology, an increase from a estimated $45 billion he had offered the previous day.

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TIME SPEAKER TEXT
00:00:20 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

(Strikes gavel.) The committee will come to order.

The book of Deuteronomy commands you must...

00:08:31 SEC. GEITHNER

Chairman Baucus, members of the committee, it's

an honor to appear before you today to talk...

00:16:20 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Secretary.

And I'd like to turn to Senator Grassley for any opening

statement...

00:16:25 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

I would apologize to the

secretary, because I was speaking on the floor of the Senate.

There...

00:28:54 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Mr. Secretary, I want to begin by just complimenting the

president...

00:31:36 SEC. GEITHNER

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

I just want to begin by emphasizing again how...

00:33:08 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

But this is -- you're not -- (inaudible) -- 28

percent limitation.

00:33:11 SEC. GEITHNER

Let me just say on that -- this is important to

do. That provision will affect 1.2 percent of...

00:33:43 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

And the administration's willing to have

discussions with Congress on the employee exclusion...

00:33:50 SEC. GEITHNER

Of course, we are willing to listen to all ideas

that meet these broad principles.

00:33:55 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

That's more health-related. It's also very

aggressive. And I might say, it's a 200 -- if you...

00:34:09 SEC. GEITHNER

One of the principles in the president's budget

is, again, to try to preserve our employee-based...

00:34:27 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

I appreciate it. My time's up. I just -- it's --

I just urge the administration to dig down...

00:34:42 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

Would you skip over me --

00:34:45 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Sure.

00:34:45 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

And then take the next Republican -- or just

after somebody else has --

00:34:50 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Senator Bingaman, you -- this is -- (inaudible).

00:34:53 Bingaman, JeffU.S. Senator

Thank you very much, Mr. Secretary,

for your testimony.

Let me ask about the issue about...

00:36:13 SEC. GEITHNER

Thank you, Senator.

Let me just start by underscoring again how important it is to

recovery...

00:39:49 Bingaman, JeffU.S. Senator

I still have six seconds, so let me ask another

question. (Laughter.)

00:39:53 SEC. GEITHNER

(Chuckling.) I apologize. I apologize, Senator.

00:39:55 Bingaman, JeffU.S. Senator

The assets that you're purchasing -- am I right,

though, that we're going to be providing these...

00:40:12 SEC. GEITHNER

Yeah. And you understand these questions are

hard to answer until you see the details of the...

00:41:18 Bingaman, JeffU.S. Senator

Thank you very much.

00:41:20 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you.

Senator Grassley.

00:41:20 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

Yeah. Mr. Secretary, when we met

in my office and when you appeared before this committee as...

00:42:38 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, let me say it this way. It is

absolutely critical that, as we move to get recovery...

00:43:55 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

Okay. New question. As modified by the stimulus

bill, Section 1202 of the code, 75 percent of...

00:45:55 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, I just want to begin by saying that

thank you for emphasizing the importance of that...

00:46:29 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

I'm done, Mr. Chairman. Let me just suggest to

him that this is one area where if you want bipartisanship,...

00:46:41 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Senator Bunning.

00:46:44 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

I listened to your entire testimony before the Ways and Means

Committee...

00:47:10 SEC. GEITHNER

No, Senator --

00:47:10 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Well, you can play both tapes, and you will find

out that you misstated.

00:47:10 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, what I said is that you had -- that I

had disclosed fully to the committee and the...

00:47:22 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

No, it was -- the word "approved" came in.

00:47:25 SEC. GEITHNER

Not by me, but --

00:47:25 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Yes, by you.

00:47:28 SEC. GEITHNER

Nope.

00:47:28 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Well, I mean, we can get the tapes of both

committees, and you will find that we didn't approve,...

00:48:20 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, the president believes, as do a large

majority of the American people, that it's very...

00:48:43 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Well, we could argue about how we're going to get

there.

00:48:46 SEC. GEITHNER

True. But I think the important point I want to

make is that to do that requires that you change...

00:48:56 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

We've been doing that in 2005 and 2007. Both the

two energy bills that we passed did exactly...

00:49:03 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, we're going to have to do dramatically more

in that area, I think, to achieve this broad...

00:49:07 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

I agree, because all the things are not included.

00:49:10 SEC. GEITHNER

Right. And what the president proposed is that

we work with Congress, on a comprehensive cap-and-trade...

00:49:42 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

But then the ability to trade or to auction off

emission permits is a way that the less efficient...

00:50:14 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, the cap-and-trade system has been

applied successfully in our country, in parts of...

00:50:23 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Well, but there's a cost involved there, because I

live in Kentucky. So I pay the cost.

00:50:29 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, Senator, again what this proposal is

designed to do is to change the incentives American...

00:50:35 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

I have one more question.

Go ahead.

00:50:38 SEC. GEITHNER

So that again we make more progress, in energy

independence and improving energy efficiency...

00:50:49 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Okay, thank you.

I have one more question and it involves LIFO. This will

disadvantage...

00:51:46 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, I've heard a lot of concerns about this

specific provision. There are a significant...

00:52:10 Bunning, JimU.S. Senator

Thank you.

00:52:10 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Senator Wyden.

00:52:14 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Mr. Secretary, I strongly support the views Chairman Baucus has

expressed...

00:53:31 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, what I personally believe is it is

critically important for our country that we come...

00:53:56 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

But it's not about looking at my ideas, Mr.

Secretary.

Economists, senators -- I mean,...

00:54:18 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, I think --

00:54:18 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

Whether it's Milton Friedman --

00:54:18 SEC. GEITHNER

Right.

00:54:18 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

-- whether it's Bob Greenstein, I mean, literally,

across the political spectrum, people agree...

00:54:28 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, I agree, there is broad support --

00:54:28 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

Great.

00:54:28 SEC. GEITHNER

-- among economists for what you laid out -- for

what you laid out. I agree with that. I think...

00:54:41 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

Very good. Let me ask you a question about taxes.

In the last decade, there have been thousands...

00:55:26 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, I do agree with you that there are a

wide range of aspects of our tax code that add...

00:56:34 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

I hope you will also say with your tax changes,

though, that you're really setting the table...

00:57:14 SEC. GEITHNER

True. But I think the overall impact of these

changes are, again, are good for business. They're...

00:57:35 Wyden, Ronald LeeU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

00:57:35 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator, very much.

Senator Enzi.

00:57:41 Enzi, Michael B.U.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

And I, too, want to emphasize how pleased I am that there's

health...

00:58:46 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, that's a loss avoided or a rise in

unemployment avoided by getting growth back on track....

00:59:14 Enzi, Michael B.U.S. Senator

But aren't all jobs kind of tenuous at the moment, so

all 130 million or however many there...

00:59:23 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, I'm not sure I fully understand what we're

debating. I think that it is -- you're right,...

00:59:32 Enzi, Michael B.U.S. Senator

I'm just asking for more emphasis on the created jobs

rather than the saved jobs so that we...

00:59:54 SEC. GEITHNER

We want to save them, and we want to create more

jobs. And we want to make the average American...

01:00:10 Enzi, Michael B.U.S. Senator

Thank you. I'm just trying to keep the transparency

of that.

01:00:12 SEC. GEITHNER

(Laughs.) Okay.

01:00:12 Enzi, Michael B.U.S. Senator

I need to talk to you about a very small part of the

budget but on that affects a number of...

01:01:38 SEC. GEITHNER

I will take a look at it and come back to you

with a response.

01:01:41 Enzi, Michael B.U.S. Senator

Thank you. And in my remaining few seconds here, I'm

going to express some concern for small-business...

01:02:38 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, as I said before, our estimates are that

the proposals in the president's budget to...

01:03:58 Enzi, Michael B.U.S. Senator

Thank you. My time is expired.

01:03:58 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you very much, Senator.

Senator Nelson, you're next.

01:04:09 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

Mr. Secretary, good morning to you. On

the question about folks not paying what they owe in...

01:05:52 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, I share your concern. And I think

you're right to point out it's not fair to people...

01:07:20 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

That is wonderful news and a refreshing attitude.

And Mr. Chairman, this, of course, will be...

01:07:37 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Very important question. I'm very glad frankly

this is being addressed more forcefully by this...

01:07:42 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

And very forcefully, and I am very appreciative.

01:07:42 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Right. There are lot of ideas. And a lot of them

sound good on the surface, but the main point...

01:07:53 SEC. GEITHNER

I think the hard thing is, of course, everybody

is for closing the tax gap. But when you look...

01:08:08 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Now is the best time to do it. Thank you.

01:08:08 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

May I, in my remaining time, Mr. Chairman, just ask

one more question?

01:08:15 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Certainly.

01:08:15 Nelson, BillU.S. Senator

What we have, as I see on the issue of housing,

we're having voluntary loan modifications made...

01:09:12 SEC. GEITHNER

You're absolutely right that many of the

modifications that have been done to date don't fundamentally...

01:10:22 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Quickly.

01:10:22 SEC. GEITHNER

-- I'm sorry -- that -- and this is very

important. A critical (component ?) of the rest of...

01:11:03 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Senator Snowe, you're next.

01:11:06 Snowe, Olympia J.U.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Mr. Secretary, the president said that in order to have a full

recovery...

01:12:38 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, this is critically important, and

everything we're trying to do to get the economies...

01:14:39 Snowe, Olympia J.U.S. Senator

Well, are you planning to release the list of all

450 banks that have received assistance under...

01:14:49 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, we produced a report --

01:14:52 Snowe, Olympia J.U.S. Senator

Going retroactively --

01:14:52 SEC. GEITHNER

Right.

01:14:54 Snowe, Olympia J.U.S. Senator

-- as well as prospectively, all the banks?

01:14:54 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, we are putting all the terms of past

assistance on the website for people to see it. So...

01:15:50 Snowe, Olympia J.U.S. Senator

Well, and it's going to undermine the value of the

stimulus plan --

01:15:52 SEC. GEITHNER

Absolutely.

01:15:52 Snowe, Olympia J.U.S. Senator

-- once it's under way. And there have been -- you

said yesterday that this will -- this crisis...

01:16:48 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Senator Cantwell.

01:16:48 SEC. GEITHNER

You're absolutely right. The economic recovery

depends on financial recovery.

Just one...

01:16:52 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Very briefly.

01:16:52 SEC. GEITHNER

The administration's forecast is within the range

of estimates that CBO's produced that try...

01:17:25 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Senator Cantwell.

01:17:25 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

My colleagues have asked so many questions, Secretary Geithner,

that...

01:18:08 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, thank you for asking this.

AIG got itself in the position, because there was no effective

oversight,...

01:18:53 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

That's a --

01:18:53 SEC. GEITHNER

Now, the world --

01:18:53 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

That's a -- if you could just clarify more on

that -- because you're saying basically it would...

01:19:06 SEC. GEITHNER

The biggest effects would have been on -- not on

the direct counterparties to the affiliate...

01:19:53 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

Well, Secretary Geithner, with all due respect, I

think that is the question of the day: confidence...

01:20:20 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, just again on AIG, because it's very

important on AIG -- the world has gotten dramatically...

01:21:19 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

I'm not sure that we're getting to the point that

I wanted to get to. So I think what I'll do...

01:22:41 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, we do propose a lot of changes in the tax

code, particularly things that allow people...

01:23:32 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Senator Stabenow?

01:23:34 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

01:23:34 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you.

01:23:36 Stabenow, DebbieU.S. Senator

Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman.

And Mr. Secretary, welcome. I would also reiterate what our

chairman...

01:26:50 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, thank you for raising that.

TALF will help, but it's not going to solve all these problems.

I...

01:27:42 Stabenow, DebbieU.S. Senator

I mean, we know that the challenge for them is

they have to keep changing their numbers downward,...

01:27:56 SEC. GEITHNER

Right.

01:27:56 Stabenow, DebbieU.S. Senator

And you've seen the options. And so the question

of whether or not this financing, this new...

01:28:30 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, I'll pursue that specific question with my

colleagues at the Fed, and have someone get...

01:28:53 Stabenow, DebbieU.S. Senator

Thank you.

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

01:28:56 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

Well, thank you.

I'm next, according to the chairman. Mr. Secretary, welcome to

the committee....

01:29:34 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, I have not looked at the details of that

study, but I don't think it's the right way...

01:29:38 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

I think you need to look at the details.

01:29:38 SEC. GEITHNER

Yeah, I will look at the details of it.

01:29:40 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

If that's true, why are we going through this? I

mean --

01:29:43 SEC. GEITHNER

It -- framed that way, it can't be right.

01:29:46 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

Well --

01:29:46 SEC. GEITHNER

If we -- if we don't get growth back on track, we

will face higher long-term deficits.

It's...

01:30:04 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

All right. I'll accept that. I'd like you to look

at it and like you to answer that for me and...

01:31:42 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, I'd like to get back to you on those

specific comparisons and give you a comprehensive...

01:31:45 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

Well, see, I think it's one thing to say that, you

know, 97 percent are really not going to...

01:31:55 SEC. GEITHNER

Right. But I want to just --

01:31:57 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

-- do most everything that happens -- (inaudible).

01:31:57 SEC. GEITHNER

I want to do this carefully, but I do believe --

and I think it's important to point out --...

01:32:23 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

No, I agree with that. But I also agree that you're

oversimplifying the small business aspect...

01:32:29 SEC. GEITHNER

Right. And I'll come back to you on that. I --

01:32:29 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

I think you need to clarify that.

Now, one last question, because my time's running out. But...

01:33:49 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, thank you for raising this. Just a

couple things. I've said before this --

01:33:52 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

These are important things to me.

01:33:52 SEC. GEITHNER

They -- absolutely. I have said before before

this committee and happy to say it again now that...

01:34:02 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

Then it's not fair to blame the prior administration

for everything.

01:34:05 SEC. GEITHNER

And a lot of things contributed to this crisis,

and a lot of things not just on the financial...

01:34:29 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

You seem to be blaming us up here.

01:34:29 SEC. GEITHNER

No, no. No, no --

01:34:32 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

Wait, wait, I think you're right. (Laughs.)

01:34:32 SEC. GEITHNER

No, no.

01:34:32 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

I think we could have done a better job.

01:34:34 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, I think we all could have done a better job

and we're going to have to do a better job....

01:35:00 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

Okay. Senator Carper's next, they tell me.

01:35:00 Stabenow, DebbieU.S. Senator

Right.

01:35:00 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

Okay.

01:35:03 Carper, Thomas R.U.S. Senator

Thank you.

01:35:03 Hatch, OrrinU.S. Senator

Thank you very much.

01:35:06 Carper, Thomas R.U.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator Hatch.

Secretary Geithner, welcome. You're a busy man. And I know you

have...

01:35:14 SEC. GEITHNER

Yeah, I do. Thank you very much. They're very

important to me. I see them as much as I can,...

01:35:21 Carper, Thomas R.U.S. Senator

You'll know you've been away too long when you come

home and your children say to you, "Dad,...

01:35:50 SEC. GEITHNER

We're making some progress. And we'll -- we hope

to come before the committee soon with a full...

01:36:02 Carper, Thomas R.U.S. Senator

All right. Good.

I appreciated the opportunity to be with you last week at the

White House...

01:37:27 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, as you proposed and as you know, I think

you -- there's no solution to this that doesn't...

01:38:12 Carper, Thomas R.U.S. Senator

Good. I chair a subcommittee on the Homeland

Security and Governmental Affairs Committee on...

01:39:57 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, we'll put out the details in the budget,

but I just want to state the simple objective,...

01:40:36 Carper, Thomas R.U.S. Senator

All right. Last question. I met a week or so ago

with David Marvin, a very smart guy from our...

01:41:32 SEC. GEITHNER

I'd like to think about the latter and get back

to you. And on the former, on the uptick rule,...

01:41:56 Carper, Thomas R.U.S. Senator

Thank you so much, and thank you for your service.

01:41:58 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Senator Roberts, you're next.

01:42:01 Roberts, PatU.S. Senator

Well, thank you, Mr. Chairman.

And thank you, Mr. Secretary. You have given an extremely

articulate,...

01:47:19 SEC. GEITHNER

Anthills may --

01:47:21 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

And Mr. Secretary, I'll just give you a chance to

address those three anthills briefly.

01:47:25 SEC. GEITHNER

Okay. On the first two, what we're proposing is,

as part of a fiscally responsible package to...

01:48:57 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Senator Cornyn, you're next. (Pause.)

Senator Cornyn's next.

01:49:01 Cornyn, JohnU.S. Senator

Well, thank you --

01:49:01 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

I was.

01:49:04 Roberts, PatU.S. Senator

It's Senator --

01:49:04 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

We skipped Cornyn first, but then --

01:49:06 Cornyn, JohnU.S. Senator

I know for sure, Mr. Chairman, that Senator Ensign

was here ahead of me, if we're observing...

01:49:10 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

He's got -- (off mike) -- speak.

01:49:10 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Okay.

01:49:10 Cornyn, JohnU.S. Senator

-- defer to the chairman.

01:49:12 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

So you -- I'll -- Senator Ensign looks -- feels

like -- looks like he feels like he should be...

01:49:15 Cornyn, JohnU.S. Senator

Well, I'll defer to him.

01:49:15 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

-- so I'll recognize Senator Ensign.

01:49:15 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

No, that'd be -- (off mike).

01:49:18 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

No, no, no.

01:49:18 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

If he was here first --

01:49:18 Cornyn, JohnU.S. Senator

I (brought ?) questions.

01:49:18 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

I just thought up questions, so.

01:49:22 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

No, he (asked ?) his questions --

01:49:22 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

Well, I was here for a while. I -- (off mike) --

01:49:22 SEN.

It's John's turn.

01:49:22 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

It's between the two of you. Whatever you want to

do. (Laughter.)

01:49:27 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

Thank you.

01:49:27 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

You work it out.

01:49:27 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I had to -- I had to

leave for about 15 minutes. I had another meeting....

01:49:32 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Good. Fine. Fine. Fine.

01:49:32 SEN.

Senator Cornyn --

01:49:32 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

Couple of observations. First of all, we have --

all of this spending goes together, whether...

01:51:39 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, I'm nodding, because you're making a

fair point. But I want to point out that in the...

01:51:54 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

On the discretionary side?

01:51:54 SEC. GEITHNER

Yeah. And --

01:51:54 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

What are they? What are they? What are they? And

what are the amounts?

01:51:59 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, one example is to eliminate the subsidies

to middle men in the student loan market. One...

01:52:31 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

That's if GDP grows.

01:52:31 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, that's true. But you need to measure all

these things against the size of the economy....

01:52:37 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

I said, if the projections are correct.

01:52:37 SEC. GEITHNER

True, but the long-term projections in there are

an economy that's growing at a sustainable...

01:52:56 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

Except that CBO and OMB are always wrong.

01:52:56 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, forecasts are never what they are. But

over time, the economy does tend to return to its...

01:53:30 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

I only have a minute left. I want to get one more

question and comment in. I just wish you would...

01:54:30 SEC. GEITHNER

Mr. Chairman, just very quickly? The president

lays out in the budget an expected path for the...

01:54:51 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

But we'll be able to hold you to those numbers. If

you don't meet those projections --

01:54:55 SEC. GEITHNER

No, I'm just saying --

01:54:55 Ensign, JohnU.S. Senator

-- in GDP, then your stimulus package will have

failed.

01:54:59 SEC. GEITHNER

-- that you can measure the success of the

policies we did together design and implement --...

01:55:34 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Senator Cornyn.

01:55:37 Cornyn, JohnU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Secretary Geithner, let me ask you about two topics in the short

time...

01:56:27 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, as you know, and I think it's clear in

the proposal, we don't believe it makes sense...

01:57:28 Cornyn, JohnU.S. Senator

Do you understand that raising taxes on small and

independent energy companies, producers here,...

01:57:50 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, what I know for sure is that we start

with a deeply unsustainable fiscal position and...

01:58:40 Cornyn, JohnU.S. Senator

I understand your answer. My view is that higher

taxes on small and independent producers here...

01:59:53 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, the president shares your commitment to

long-term entitlement reform, because that's...

02:00:41 Cornyn, JohnU.S. Senator

Outside of reforming health care, a goal which we

all share, is the -- administration have any...

02:00:53 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, Senator, as you saw in the agenda for the

fiscal summit, there are a comprehensive set...

02:01:05 Cornyn, JohnU.S. Senator

And lastly, specifically, you have no proposal to

deal with the impending insolvency of Social...

02:01:15 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, the budget does propose a specific set

of reforms to Social Security. But you're right...

02:01:38 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Senator -- Senator Menendez. You're next.

02:01:43 Menendez, RobertU.S. Senator

Thanks. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Mr. Secretary, thank you for your service.

On page two...

02:02:54 SEC. GEITHNER

I think you're absolutely right that although

mortgage rates are lower, the spreads between...

02:03:58 Menendez, RobertU.S. Senator

Those undoubtedly are worthy.

02:03:58 SEC. GEITHNER

Yeah. They are --

02:03:58 Menendez, RobertU.S. Senator

And I support them and have voted for them as

well. The question is, how do we stop the free-fall...

02:04:20 SEC. GEITHNER

I do think it's very important people understand

the most important thing you can do for the...

02:04:35 Menendez, RobertU.S. Senator

Senator Carper asked you about carried interest.

I just want to ask one quick question. My understanding...

02:04:52 SEC. GEITHNER

That's our proposal.

02:04:52 Menendez, RobertU.S. Senator

-- if, in fact, that gets passed. Okay.

And then finally, you -- and the chairman has worked...

02:05:50 SEC. GEITHNER

It's something we're going to take a careful look

at. It looks like a very positive step to...

02:06:02 Menendez, RobertU.S. Senator

Well, I look forward to working with the chairman

and with you, because it just seems to me...

02:06:12 SEC. GEITHNER

We do.

02:06:12 Menendez, RobertU.S. Senator

It seems to me that those who game the system not

to pay their fair share and that create a...

02:06:31 SEC. GEITHNER

I agree. It's necessary for fairness, and it's

necessary for fiscal responsibility.

02:06:36 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Senator Lincoln.

02:06:38 Lincoln, Blanche LambertU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman,

and thank you, Secretary Geithner. I'm certainly pleased you could...

02:09:30 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, in the revenue provisions of the budget, we

-- we included these new proposals for helping...

02:09:44 Lincoln, Blanche LambertU.S. Senator

Well, somewhat.

02:09:44 SEC. GEITHNER

So where we propose revenues to help finance

health care reform, we did put those in the budget.

02:09:51 Lincoln, Blanche LambertU.S. Senator

Okay. The other question I would ask would be

similar to what Senator Snowe -- and that is,...

02:10:08 SEC. GEITHNER

Some of those projections you're comparing OMB's,

CEA's, against --

02:10:11 Lincoln, Blanche LambertU.S. Senator

Right.

02:10:11 SEC. GEITHNER

-- were done before stimulus. So that accounts

for some of the difference.

02:10:14 Lincoln, Blanche LambertU.S. Senator

So you're counting the stimulus in your

predictions?

02:10:16 SEC. GEITHNER

Yes, as every economist ultimately will. But the

CBO's new estimates that are done post-Recovery...

02:10:28 Lincoln, Blanche LambertU.S. Senator

Why did you include continued war spending at '08

levels, adjusted for inflation? I mean, surely...

02:10:46 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, what matters is what we spend. And as

you know, the president has made proposals to...

02:11:09 Lincoln, Blanche LambertU.S. Senator

Just seems a little phantom to me, in terms of

gimmicks and what -- how you might do.

Last...

02:12:28 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Senator Schumer.

02:12:30 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

And thank you, Mr. Secretary.

These are not easy...

02:14:25 SEC. GEITHNER

You're exactly right. And it's happening. It

really is happening across the country.

02:14:29 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

And I think more in the last few months than

before. Is that --

02:14:33 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, you know, the recession is deepening.

02:14:33 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

Okay.

02:14:35 SEC. GEITHNER

And these things feed on themselves. That's why

they're so dangerous. (Inaudible.) And you're...

02:14:55 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

Right.

02:14:55 SEC. GEITHNER

The necessary thing to do, apart from making sure

the recovery act stuff takes effect quickly,...

02:15:24 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

Will the TALF work in this regard?

02:15:24 SEC. GEITHNER

The TALF -- this direct lending program I

referred to is -- will be, we believe, will be very...

02:16:05 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

Mr. Secretary, the -- A, banks are pulling back --

02:16:11 SEC. GEITHNER

Because --

02:16:11 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

-- even with some of these banks --

02:16:11 SEC. GEITHNER

Right.

02:16:11 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

-- I didn't want to give any names. There are

some who've received the capital infusions; some...

02:16:17 SEC. GEITHNER

Right.

02:16:17 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

But worse, these businesspeople, small- and

medium-sized, search for other sources of lending,...

02:16:26 SEC. GEITHNER

Right. Well, there -- you know, again, banks --

there are banks across the country that were...

02:16:49 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

Right.

02:16:49 SEC. GEITHNER

And we will do that on a scale sufficient --

02:16:52 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

When will the TALF program be set up for small

businesses so that a bank or some -- you know,...

02:17:04 SEC. GEITHNER

TALF program, we announced the details, scheduled

the funding yesterday.

02:17:07 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

Right.

02:17:07 SEC. GEITHNER

And you're going to see, within the next few

weeks, it up and running. And you'll start to see...

02:17:24 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

You know, this will raise the unemployment rate

and send the economy down. And when it's profitable...

02:17:37 SEC. GEITHNER

Right, it is scary. And it underscores again why

credit is so important to recovery. And in...

02:17:50 Schumer, Charles E.U.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

02:17:52 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator.

Mr. Geithner, got a question about federal aviation taxes.

There's...

02:19:24 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, Senator, we'll take a careful look at it.

I don't think that was the motivation, but we'll...

02:19:33 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Well, if that wasn't the motivation, what was?

02:19:36 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, maybe I should come back to you with a more

thoughtful case and so we have a chance to...

02:19:44 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

I'm just telling you, I don't think it's a good

idea, what you're trying to do here.

02:19:50 SEC. GEITHNER

I hear you.

02:19:50 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

I was struck with a comment that somebody, I think

with some authority, made that puts a little...

02:20:46 SEC. GEITHNER

They were lending too much.

02:20:46 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

And that's for credit cards or home equity loans or

for homes in the first place. (Inaudible)...

02:21:05 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, I think, as I tried to say earlier, you're

absolutely right that this is a crisis born...

02:21:58 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Some things just don't change. I think Benjamin

Franklin said, "He who goes a-borrowing goes...

02:23:01 SEC. GEITHNER

I think you're -- I completely agree. I think

the instruments are complicated, but the objective...

02:23:21 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Well, I just urge you to try to think this through

more in words and terms that the average...

02:23:49 SEC. GEITHNER

Yeah, I thought they did a very nice job. I

agree with you.

02:23:51 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Yeah. And if somehow you can just talk about this

in more basic sort of simple terms and put...

02:24:13 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

I have a couple of questions. But before I do

that, I'd like to call your attention to something...

02:26:14 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, I'd like to spend a little time on this

issue, but not enough. I'd like to take a careful...

02:26:29 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

Well, if there's an intellectual basis for it, I

sure don't see it. And I think it's just simply...

02:28:24 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, I understand this concern. But I'd just

come back to the context. Again, what we did...

02:29:05 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

02:29:05 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you.

Senator Enzi, you're next.

02:29:10 Enzi, Michael B.U.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I would

like my full statement to be a part of the record.

I...

02:30:52 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, thank you for raising that. Absolutely

not. The estimate in the budget reflects the...

02:31:50 Enzi, Michael B.U.S. Senator

Well, why wouldn't you put the whole 750 billion

(dollars) in there, though, instead of just...

02:31:53 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, only because that what matters in the

budgetary context is that, again, under the established...

02:32:09 Enzi, Michael B.U.S. Senator

So if it's just a placeholder that is a reserve until

it's needed, who's going to make the determination...

02:32:27 SEC. GEITHNER

That's what we'll do. But we thought that it was

-- we're laying out a, you know, as realistic...

02:33:56 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

I appreciate that Freudian slip. (Laughter.) I'm

sure you were thinking about tax reform. Okay....

02:34:02 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

I'd like to go back to the deductibility question. I was

curious,...

02:34:14 SEC. GEITHNER

You mean in the president's broad tax proposals?

02:34:17 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

Yes.

02:34:20 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, he laid out a set of proposals in the

campaign, very clear the American people that he...

02:34:46 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

So it was just taken from the campaign. I mean,

there's --

02:34:48 SEC. GEITHNER

It was a commitment he made to the American

people in the campaign.

02:34:51 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

And what do you think, given the limitation on

deductions, the tax rate might actually be on...

02:35:01 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, on deductibility, change the tax treatment

of a set of deductions. And what they do is...

02:35:31 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

Well, I think -- I mean, these policies that we

have, whether it's deductibility for mortgages,...

02:36:01 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, again, we're restoring the level of

deductibility to a point that's been achieved in the...

02:36:29 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

Well, we certainly want to work with you, and I

think the committee will, you can see from the...

02:36:56 SEC. GEITHNER

Well -- fair question, and we'll provide a full

range of analysis of that impact as we go through...

02:37:03 Cantwell, MariaU.S. Senator

Thank you, and thank the chair.

02:37:03 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Senator. I want a couple of questions,

here, and Senator Grassley has one. When people...

02:37:27 SEC. GEITHNER

Yes, the economically relevant measure is the net

debt held by the public, of the general government.

02:37:37 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

So when people talk about total debt, what's the

relevance of that to the markets, or to the...

02:37:43 SEC. GEITHNER

It shouldn't be relevant. Really, the right

economically relevant measure is the net debt outstanding...

02:38:04 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

It's my understanding, the budget deficits, as a

percent of GDP, are roughly costs around 3.2...

02:38:16 SEC. GEITHNER

Right. The level of deficit that stabilizes the

debt to GDP ratio is roughly in the range of...

02:38:35 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

But what's -- maybe you answered it already --

what's an acceptable sustainable rate, that is,...

02:38:48 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, 3 percent, is that. You mean the level of

debt outstanding to GDP, or the level of debt...

02:38:48 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

No, no --

(Cross talk.)

02:38:48 SEC. GEITHNER

-- 3 percent is the level that is consistent with

this definition of sustainability, which again...

02:39:08 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

All right. Now let's look at debt, for a moment,

which right now, I think it's around, roughly,...

02:39:24 SEC. GEITHNER

That's right. That's right.

02:39:24 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Which raises the question, what is a proper level

of debt to GDP, and when do you start getting...

02:39:35 SEC. GEITHNER

That is a -- I would say most economists would

say -- that is a manageable burden for a country...

02:39:56 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

What would some example be?

02:39:56 SEC. GEITHNER

Well, when the government makes investments in

capital, it provides lending against collateral,...

02:40:22 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Okay. Thank you. Senator Grassley.

02:40:22 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

I don't disagree with anything you just said

there, but the way I like to tell my constituents...

02:40:56 SEC. GEITHNER

That's right. And because of the cost of the

crisis, and the --

(Cross talk.)

02:40:59 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

Yeah. Then it goes up to 60 (percent).

02:40:59 SEC. GEITHNER

That's right.

02:40:59 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

But again, I guess I'd say for 40 years, you

know, that that level of debt has not been harmful...

02:43:21 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, cap and trade would increase the cost of

energy for those types of energy that's particularly...

02:44:32 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

You know, this might be hard to argue against

changing people's habits, but you are admitting...

02:45:09 SEC. GEITHNER

Senator, the way I would say it is that, again,

the resources raised by this will be devoted...

02:45:32 Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.U.S. Senator

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Thank you, Mr. Secretary.

02:45:35 Baucus, MaxU.S. Senator

Thank you, Secretary. This has been most

productive, and we wish you well. Thank you.

02:45:39 SEC. GEITHNER

Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

RELATED PROGRAMS

PEOPLE GRID LIST

  • Geithner, Timothy F.
  • Baucus, Max
  • Bingaman, Jeff
  • Bunning, Jim
  • Cantwell, Maria
  • Carper, Thomas R.
  • Cornyn, John
  • Ensign, John
  • Enzi, Michael B.
  • Grassley, Charles "Chuck" E.
  • Hatch, Orrin
  • Lincoln, Blanche Lambert
  • Menendez, Robert
  • Nelson, Bill
  • Roberts, Pat
  • Schumer, Charles E.
  • Snowe, Olympia J.
  • Stabenow, Debbie
  • Wyden, Ronald Lee

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